NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	128		Excitement	8.0 [316]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +47.9%
Washington Wizards	135		Comeback	2.6 [572]		LVP	CJ Miles (MEM): -5.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18	0.19	0.01	0.03	15	68%	0.20	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.05
Chandler Parsons	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.00	10	70%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	8	75%	0.21	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	17	61%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	17	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bruno Caboclo	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48	0.48	0.37	0.16	0.05	17	93%	0.50	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	0.00	5	56%	0.16	0	0.00	8	100%	0.09
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.00	9	83%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.02	11	75%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	13	57%	0.11	5	-0.14	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	25.5	15.3	28.5	2.5	36.5	136.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +14.6%

WAS +19.8%

WAS +16.5%

MEM -2.3%

WAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	WAS	NBA	MEM	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	13.4	14.3	123.1	129.8	109.3
season	15.4	13.8		105.4	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.6	15.2	12.9	14.5	14.3
WAS	10.7	12.5	15.4	15.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	23	23	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-13	19	15.3	14.0	1.26	11.1	14.1	-2.93
Tyler Dorsey	24	25	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-9	11	14.7	14.1	0.61	13.6	13.3	0.30
Jonas Valanciunas	60	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-7	7	15.2	13.0	2.30	13.3	13.6	-0.37
Mike Conley	74	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-8	9	13.8	15.4	-1.58	13.9	12.1	1.82
Bruno Caboclo	16	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	2	-11	14.5	14.2	0.26	11.2	13.8	-2.56
Chandler Parsons	48	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-10	13	14.7	13.9	0.76	13.3	13.5	-0.20
Joakim Noah	59	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-3	-1	13.5	15.3	-1.86	13.1	13.8	-0.72
Delon Wright	52	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.24	-2	-5	3	13.4	15.1	-1.71	14.2	12.6	1.57
Justin Holiday	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	4	-15	13.8	15.1	-1.31	13.8	12.8	0.96
Ivan Rabb	26	26	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	5	-17	16.4	13.6	2.81	14.6	13.0	1.60
Avery Bradley	75	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	2	-11	14.1	14.7	-0.57	13.1	14.1	-0.92

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Parker	64	63	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	13.8	12.8	0.96	14.7	13.6	1.14
Bradley Beal	83	83	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-7	21	13.4	13.4	0.04	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Jeff Green	70	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-3	13	13.2	13.9	-0.70	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Thomas Bryant	41	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	9	-11	15.0	12.4	2.66	14.3	14.3	0.06
Tomas Satoransky	80	81	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	9	-11	13.8	12.2	1.57	14.4	13.8	0.64
Bobby Portis	51	52	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	0	7	13.1	13.7	-0.62	14.0	14.6	-0.56
Troy Brown Jr.	47	45	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	5	-3	12.7	14.0	-1.38	14.8	13.9	0.92
Chasson Randle	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	10	-13	12.2	13.8	-1.66	15.3	13.9	1.38
Trevor Ariza	57	56	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	10	-13	13.1	13.8	-0.72	13.6	15.1	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.63,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 81, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.88,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.0%
DAL 105, NOP 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.73,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.85,0.99,1,1	93.7%
NOP 110, OKC 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.72,0.85,0.99,1	93.4%