NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	4.8 [874]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +20.2%
Boston Celtics	111		Comeback	1.8 [808]		LVP	Jarred Vanderbilt (LAL): -7.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dalton Knecht	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luka Doncic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.01	0.09	22	65%	0.14	5	-0.12	8	87%	0.04
LeBron James	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	23	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	36%	-0.04	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.07	0.01	28	59%	0.22	3	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.02	25	57%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	9	64%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	59%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.4	29.3	16.0	32.2	3.3	29.6	138.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.3%

BOS +7.8%

LAL -1.5%

BOS +10.2%

LAL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	14.4	104.1	115.6	113.0
season	15.0	15.3		114.1	118.3
opponent	14.6	14.3		109.2	113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.4	16.7	15.3	14.2	15.4
BOS	12.8	14.6	12.4	18.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Jemison III	13	11	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-15	20	12.7	15.8	-3.14	17.1	14.1	3.01
Jordan Goodwin	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-16	22	13.2	16.6	-3.42	13.4	15.0	-1.62
Dalton Knecht	48	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-19	28	14.7	16.1	-1.35	15.1	13.8	1.25
Jarred Vanderbilt	56	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-10	10	16.0	14.6	1.43	15.0	13.6	1.40
LeBron James	71	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	1	-12	15.9	14.2	1.72	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Gabe Vincent	40	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	8	-26	15.2	15.5	-0.32	12.7	15.6	-2.84
Austin Reaves	75	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	2	-14	15.8	14.0	1.83	14.9	12.7	2.19
Dorian Finney-Smith	72	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.21	-10	0	-10	15.8	14.4	1.42	14.8	13.3	1.46
Luka Doncic	75	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	9	-28	15.8	14.1	1.65	13.9	16.2	-2.28

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	71	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-7	24	14.2	15.2	-1.05	16.0	13.8	2.23
Jaylen Brown	83	84	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-1	12	14.5	14.1	0.41	15.4	15.5	-0.15
Jayson Tatum	90	92	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-2	14	14.4	15.0	-0.61	15.4	15.0	0.43
Al Horford	76	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-6	22	13.5	17.9	-4.39	15.5	14.9	0.64
Jrue Holiday	68	68	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	1	8	15.0	13.1	1.86	16.0	14.0	1.97
Payton Pritchard	48	48	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	12	-14	13.5	15.4	-1.94	14.5	16.3	-1.89
Luke Kornet	21	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	16	-22	17.3	13.6	3.72	13.9	15.8	-1.92
Sam Hauser	23	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	17	-24	16.0	13.9	2.07	14.8	15.6	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.87,0.94,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CHI 89, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.98,0.99,1	93.8%
CHI 108, DET 131	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%