NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	4.7 [895]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): +15.9%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	1.4 [457]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (CHI): -15.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	59%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	13	45%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	13	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.03	0.04	5	62%	0.02	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	13	37%	-0.09	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.05	-0.02	13	65%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	12	62%	0.07	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	63%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	11	45%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Toure Murry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	26.5	16.5	26.5	3.5	37.5	137.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +42.2%

CHI -3.7%

CHI -6.7%

NYK +18.6%

CHI -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.1	97.8	108.7	105.2
season	16.3	16.0		101.1	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.3		107.6	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.0	16.7	14.9	13.9	15.8
NYK	14.7	17.6	14.5	16.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-10	9	14.4	15.9	-1.48	18.4	15.5	2.88
Nazr Mohammed	7	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-6	1	16.7	15.7	0.99	21.9	15.1	6.79
Carlos Boozer	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	16.4	15.2	1.19	14.6	16.8	-2.20
Mike Dunleavy	61	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	15.9	15.7	0.20	15.9	15.1	0.78
D.J. Augustin	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-3	-5	15.3	16.7	-1.45	15.7	15.5	0.20
Taj Gibson	52	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-3	-5	15.2	16.6	-1.42	16.5	14.7	1.83
Joakim Noah	77	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-6	1	15.8	15.9	-0.15	15.2	18.6	-3.42
Kirk Hinrich	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-3	-5	16.2	14.9	1.37	15.4	16.3	-0.98
Jimmy Butler	86	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	-1	-9	15.9	14.4	1.48	15.5	18.4	-2.88

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	61	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	3	5	15.4	16.2	-0.83	15.3	16.8	-1.57
Tyson Chandler	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	1	9	14.8	17.0	-2.18	16.8	14.2	2.55
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	4	3	17.1	12.1	4.96	15.2	17.3	-2.05
Raymond Felton	67	65	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	8	-5	15.6	15.8	-0.23	16.7	13.5	3.17
J.R. Smith	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	2	7	15.4	15.9	-0.42	17.3	14.5	2.80
Carmelo Anthony	53	53	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	6	-1	14.4	17.4	-3.01	17.3	13.7	3.59
Tim Hardaway Jr.	53	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	9	-7	15.9	15.4	0.50	14.5	17.5	-3.04
Pablo Prigioni	23	24	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	5	1	16.3	15.5	0.78	13.5	16.6	-3.07
Cole Aldrich	36	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	10	-9	17.0	14.8	2.18	14.2	16.8	-2.55
Toure Murry	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	9	-7	11.0	15.8	-4.78	13.5	15.9	-2.35
Jeremy Tyler	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	9	-7	11.0	15.8	-4.78	13.5	15.9	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	94.9%
DEN 98, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SEA 74, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%