NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	5.2 [758]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +22.2%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	1.6 [897]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -9.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.05	0.02	19	68%	0.29	3	-0.07	21	81%	0.04
DJ Mbenga	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	2	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	4	85%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04
Sasha Vujacic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.05	0.04	13	69%	0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.02	10	62%	0.17	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.03	16	60%	0.21	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.03
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	18	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	17	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.5	1.8	30.4	16.5	31.5	2.6	34.2	149.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +11.0%

DAL +1.3%

DAL +17.9%

DAL +19.0%

DAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	17.2	15.4	112.9	119.1	105.7
season	14.6	16.1		110.6	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		105.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	14.5	14.2	10.7	13.6
DAL	17.8	17.4	14.6	19.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Mbenga	33	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.27	8	-15	23	12.0	14.4	-2.42	18.1	16.8	1.35
Derek Fisher	35	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-7	7	14.7	12.8	1.90	16.8	17.5	-0.72
Sasha Vujacic	50	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-9	11	12.2	15.1	-2.94	17.4	17.1	0.29
Ronny Turiaf	52	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-6	5	11.6	16.1	-4.54	17.2	17.3	-0.12
Luke Walton	41	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	1	-9	15.1	12.3	2.80	18.1	16.5	1.62
Kwame Brown	43	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	3	-13	15.4	12.0	3.42	17.0	17.4	-0.36
Lamar Odom	58	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	4	-15	14.9	11.4	3.51	17.0	17.7	-0.80
Jordan Farmar	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	2	-11	13.2	14.5	-1.30	17.0	17.8	-0.82
Kobe Bryant	88	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	13.4	16.0	-2.58	17.1	19.2	-2.08

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.18	14	-7	21	16.9	19.0	-2.11	13.8	12.0	1.84
Erick Dampier	68	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-3	13	17.9	15.5	2.33	13.9	12.7	1.20
Devin Harris	57	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	5	-3	16.9	17.8	-0.92	14.3	12.4	1.92
Dirk Nowitzki	68	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	7	-7	17.0	17.8	-0.81	13.9	12.4	1.55
Eddie Jones	38	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-1	9	17.1	17.3	-0.29	15.5	12.2	3.28
Jason Terry	66	63	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	3	1	17.3	17.1	0.17	12.3	16.2	-3.90
Brandon Bass	40	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	3	1	17.1	17.3	-0.13	12.2	14.4	-2.18
Jose Juan Barea	9	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	6	-5	19.6	17.0	2.58	12.2	13.7	-1.52
DeSagana Diop	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	7	-7	15.1	17.5	-2.45	13.5	13.6	-0.07
Trenton Hassell	33	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	15	-23	18.1	16.7	1.38	12.2	14.3	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.98,0.99,1	94.9%
POR 93, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1	94.9%
DEN 89, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%