NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	108		Excitement	3.9 [1053]		MVP	Blake Griffin (DET): +24.0%
Detroit Pistons	131		Comeback	1.5 [1052]		LVP	Ish Smith (DET): -6.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	12	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	61%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Wayne Selden	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	14	58%	0.02	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	55%	0.01	1	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Antonio Blakeney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	53%	-0.00	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	67%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.24	0.04	0.04	14	82%	0.26	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	14	70%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	6	84%	0.12	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.01	0.07	10	100%	0.14	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	6	108%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khyri Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	11	41%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	10	18%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	23.6	15.3	31.6	1.5	30.2	128.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +40.8%

DET +1.3%

DET +2.8%

DET +3.6%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	15.7	14.3	111.3	133.7	109.3
season	14.6	15.3		104.2	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.0	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.7	15.9	14.2	11.7	13.8
DET	16.3	16.1	14.6	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cristiano Felicio	38	41	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-25	27	12.7	14.6	-1.85	15.4	15.9	-0.56
Antonio Blakeney	27	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-19	15	12.4	14.4	-1.98	15.9	15.6	0.35
Lauri Markkanen	50	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.13	-7	-16	9	14.9	12.7	2.24	16.3	15.1	1.16
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.24	-16	-7	-9	12.8	15.0	-2.17	15.6	15.8	-0.17
Ryan Arcidiacono	54	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-14	5	14.6	12.9	1.71	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Otto Porter Jr.	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-15	7	14.8	12.7	2.06	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Kris Dunn	45	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-10	-3	14.2	13.6	0.60	16.2	15.3	0.89
Shaquille Harrison	62	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	-4	-15	13.6	14.2	-0.62	15.7	15.7	-0.06
Robin Lopez	46	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.05	-18	-5	-13	14.7	13.1	1.55	15.9	15.5	0.37
Wayne Selden	60	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.19	-23	0	-23	13.0	15.2	-2.15	15.3	16.3	-1.02

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	58	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.20	25	-2	27	15.7	15.7	-0.09	14.6	12.7	1.85
Blake Griffin	52	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	4	15	15.6	15.8	-0.13	15.2	12.2	3.03
Reggie Jackson	48	47	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.04	17	6	11	15.7	15.6	0.11	15.0	12.8	2.22
Luke Kennard	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.36	27	-4	31	15.2	16.7	-1.51	14.0	13.4	0.64
Langston Galloway	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	6	11	16.2	15.0	1.15	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Glenn Robinson III	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	22	-21	15.9	15.6	0.32	14.0	13.8	0.28
Wayne Ellington	30	29	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	17	-11	15.5	15.8	-0.28	14.8	13.4	1.42
Ish Smith	42	43	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.25	10	13	-3	15.7	15.7	-0.01	13.2	14.4	-1.17
Thon Maker	46	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	19	-15	15.8	15.6	0.13	12.2	15.2	-3.03
Khyri Thomas	17	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	28	-33	16.0	15.6	0.37	10.7	14.4	-3.75
Jose Calderon	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	15.4	15.7	-0.35	10.1	14.1	-3.98
Jon Leuer	40	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	25	-27	15.7	15.7	0.09	12.7	14.6	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 82, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SEA 74, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
BKN 99, CHA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%