NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	7.0 [458]		MVP	Derrick Jones Jr. (LAC): +16.6%
LA Clippers	105		Comeback	2.3 [748]		LVP	Miles McBride (NYK): -11.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Precious Achiuwa	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	73%	0.19	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	21	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Landry Shamet	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	13	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	15	35%	0.01	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	13	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	5	75%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.11	-0.03	9	44%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	9	94%	0.18	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	18	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.02	20	55%	0.06	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.03
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	18	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	27.4	15.6	26.2	2.5	36.4	132.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +50.7%

NYK -10.2%

NYK -8.9%

LAC +14.6%

LAC +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAC	NBA	NYK	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	14.4	97.9	107.1	113.0
season	15.3	14.9		116.0	113.8
opponent	14.4	14.2		109.1	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	13.4	14.6	15.0	14.4
LAC	14.1	14.8	16.0	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-13	16	14.4	14.4	-0.03	15.3	15.1	0.20
Landry Shamet	33	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-12	14	14.7	14.2	0.46	15.6	14.9	0.67
Cameron Payne	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-10	10	14.6	14.3	0.28	15.2	15.1	0.09
Miles McBride	68	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	0	-10	14.3	14.6	-0.28	15.1	15.2	-0.09
OG Anunoby	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	4	-18	14.4	14.5	-0.17	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Josh Hart	92	94	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-4	-2	14.5	12.6	1.89	15.4	9.2	6.14
Karl-Anthony Towns	70	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	7	-24	14.3	14.7	-0.43	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Mikal Bridges	87	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	-2	-6	14.3	15.1	-0.79	15.1	15.3	-0.21

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	78	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.20	19	-9	28	15.4	14.2	1.12	14.7	13.1	1.60
James Harden	74	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-4	18	15.1	15.4	-0.31	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Kawhi Leonard	74	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.29	3	7	-4	15.8	13.1	2.67	14.5	14.1	0.34
Bogdan Bogdanovic	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	3	4	15.2	15.0	0.22	14.3	14.5	-0.23
Nicolas Batum	70	67	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	3	4	15.4	14.5	0.90	14.4	14.3	0.13
Kris Dunn	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	8	-6	15.3	14.9	0.41	14.2	14.6	-0.39
Amir Coffey	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	10	-10	14.2	15.6	-1.45	14.2	14.5	-0.32
Derrick Jones Jr.	39	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	11	-12	14.0	15.9	-1.90	14.5	14.3	0.24
Drew Eubanks	8	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	11	-12	13.0	15.3	-2.33	13.3	14.5	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.65,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.79,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 102, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.6,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.98,1,1	93.8%
ORL 95, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.4%
SAC 99, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.5,0.62,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%