NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	6.3 [573]		MVP	Kris Humphries (WAS): +18.4%
Washington Wizards	113		Comeback	1.5 [734]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -14.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	17	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Seth Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	3	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	22	43%	-0.04	3	-0.10	7	71%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	0.00	7	83%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Garrett Temple	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.05	0.05	17	64%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.06	0.02	8	81%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	19	64%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	13	54%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.05	-0.07	15	36%	-0.03	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	29.5	15.6	26.3	2.5	26.2	128.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +61.1%

SAC -5.9%

SAC -20.7%

WAS +13.8%

WAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	14.9	101.0	113.0	105.1
season	13.9	13.8		104.8	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.6		104.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	16.4	14.6	13.7	14.8
WAS	14.5	11.3	14.2	17.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	14	12	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.05	3	-17	20	15.5	14.7	0.81	13.5	14.4	-0.90
Kosta Koufos	40	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-14	14	13.1	16.0	-2.93	14.4	14.2	0.25
Marco Belinelli	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-13	12	14.4	15.2	-0.89	14.6	14.0	0.64
Darren Collison	62	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-10	6	15.2	14.2	0.97	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Ben McLemore	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-8	2	15.2	14.4	0.73	13.8	14.8	-1.04
Seth Curry	21	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-6	-2	13.1	15.3	-2.18	14.3	14.3	0.00
Omri Casspi	49	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-8	2	14.4	15.2	-0.84	15.5	13.0	2.47
Rajon Rondo	71	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-2	-10	14.7	15.0	-0.27	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Rudy Gay	69	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	4	-22	15.4	13.3	2.08	14.2	14.5	-0.35
DeMarcus Cousins	65	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.01	-18	4	-22	15.7	13.0	2.77	13.9	15.0	-1.05

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	83	79	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.06	27	-13	40	14.2	14.6	-0.36	15.2	13.3	1.91
Jared Dudley	87	85	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-3	20	14.2	14.7	-0.46	15.0	13.6	1.37
Marcin Gortat	78	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.05	17	-3	20	14.0	15.2	-1.14	15.0	14.3	0.66
Garrett Temple	87	86	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.06	13	1	12	13.9	16.7	-2.76	14.9	14.2	0.73
Ramon Sessions	63	62	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	8	-2	14.5	13.9	0.63	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Kelly Oubre	68	67	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	18	-22	14.6	13.5	1.12	14.5	15.4	-0.90
DeJuan Blair	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	13.0	14.3	-1.30	8.0	14.9	-6.88
Kris Humphries	33	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	20	-26	15.0	13.9	1.06	14.2	15.1	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.5,0.62,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CHA 94, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	93.7%
HOU 95, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%