NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	6.1 [592]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +21.8%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.4 [979]		LVP	Darius Miles (LAC): -13.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Harold Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	21	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	11	54%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	11	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	46%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Darius Miles	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.03	-0.06	7	45%	-0.03	6	-0.10	8	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.10	-0.02	8	75%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	-0.01	-0.02	20	63%	0.13	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	22	53%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	6	29%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	25.6	15.8	26.2	1.6	31.0	125.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +54.5%

LAC -8.3%

LAC -10.3%

BOS +19.6%

LAC -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.6	96.8	110.6	102.3
season	15.9	15.0		103.6	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	19.0	15.2	15.5	14.0	15.8
BOS	13.7	14.2	15.2	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	12	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-11	9	14.9	16.0	-1.03	13.9	14.9	-1.03
Harold Jamison	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-12	11	18.9	14.6	4.29	14.5	15.0	-0.49
Corey Maggette	63	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-10	7	16.5	14.5	1.94	14.1	16.2	-2.03
Sean Rooks	5	5	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-4	-5	17.2	15.7	1.46	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Michael Olowokandi	88	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	15.7	17.7	-1.97	14.9	14.4	0.42
Darius Miles	69	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	14.7	18.9	-4.17	15.0	14.3	0.71
Quentin Richardson	60	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-3	-7	14.6	17.9	-3.23	15.4	13.8	1.59
Jeff McInnis	82	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	16.0	14.9	1.03	14.9	13.9	1.03
Eric Piatkowski	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	0	-13	16.3	14.8	1.48	15.0	14.5	0.44

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-2	17	14.5	15.6	-1.17	16.7	13.7	3.05
Paul Pierce	66	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	3	7	15.3	13.7	1.62	15.9	15.5	0.44
Tony Battie	48	47	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	-5	23	16.0	13.5	2.50	16.6	15.1	1.51
Antoine Walker	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.03	13	0	13	15.1	14.0	1.17	16.1	15.2	0.92
Walter McCarty	66	67	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	7	-1	14.8	15.0	-0.21	14.8	18.4	-3.68
Kenny Anderson	53	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	8	-3	15.3	14.2	1.02	16.1	15.5	0.57
Erick Strickland	53	52	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	11	-9	14.4	15.4	-1.01	15.3	16.5	-1.23
Mark Blount	15	14	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	7	-1	12.9	15.2	-2.32	13.9	16.2	-2.31
Vitaly Potapenko	29	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	21	-29	13.7	15.3	-1.63	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Joe Johnson	5	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	15	-17	10.2	15.1	-4.88	16.8	15.8	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.5,0.62,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
SAS 90, NOP 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.8%
PHI 76, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.7%