inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 90 Excitement5.4 [742] MVPRyan Anderson (NOP): +17.3%
New Orleans Pelicans 97 Comeback1.7 [709] LVPDanny Green (SAS): -9.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cory Joseph0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.000.04991%0.183-0.10475%0.00
Aron Baynes0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.00464%0.0500.003100%0.02
Boris Diaw0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.020.01862%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Tim Duncan0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.001462%0.064-0.064100%0.02
Jeff Ayres0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Daye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.021443%-0.0200.0020%-0.04
Matt Bonner-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0110%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kyle Anderson-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0340%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08-0.00-0.030.051060%-0.013-0.0700%0.00
Danny Green-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.001038%-0.032-0.0610%-0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.090.08-0.001561%0.1710.006100%0.03
Anthony Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.020.05-0.061950%0.161-0.026100%0.03
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.05-0.011343%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Omer Asik0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.002100%0.01
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.020.01462%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jimmer Fredette00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Russ Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Withey00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00450%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.02950%-0.002-0.054100%0.01
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.001447%0.013-0.07450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.527.114.622.02.527.7119.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +9.9%
NOP +10.6%
NOP +6.2%
NOP +25.9%
SAS -2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNOPNBASASNOPNBA
this game15.014.715.194.798.0104.2
season15.415.8106.9106.3
opponent15.214.9106.1101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.216.715.313.015.0
NOP14.214.014.815.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tiago Splitter24260.02-0.520.54-0.042-91114.815.0-0.1915.014.60.44
Kyle Anderson20220.00-0.500.50-0.093-101314.015.2-1.2413.915.0-1.10
Jeff Ayres11-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-778.015.1-7.051.014.9-13.86
Austin Daye78-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-1-516.614.91.7211.015.0-4.04
Aron Baynes2827-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-2-314.915.0-0.1215.414.50.95
Matt Bonner1516-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-6-1-515.314.90.3414.814.70.11
Manu Ginobili5253-0.25-0.250.00-0.22-1-6515.114.90.1714.814.70.12
Cory Joseph7678-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.312-91114.516.9-2.3915.511.83.75
Boris Diaw4949-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.16-4-3-115.514.41.0615.014.40.56
Tim Duncan6671-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.24-2-5315.114.70.4714.614.9-0.24
Marco Belinelli6366-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.17-81-914.815.2-0.4114.614.9-0.24
Danny Green7478-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.18-103-1315.313.91.4414.316.4-2.11

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Anderson67640.54-0.040.580.2211-41514.814.50.2715.015.0-0.03
John Salmons37350.470.030.440.1511-41515.514.31.2314.915.0-0.15
Austin Rivers60580.380.120.260.2934-115.014.30.7214.615.6-1.01
Anthony Davis78740.330.170.170.2825-314.316.1-1.7515.313.81.56
Jrue Holiday72690.250.25-0.010.2216-514.415.5-1.1015.314.21.08
Dante Cunningham26250.210.29-0.090.0361515.514.51.0114.615.1-0.57
Alexis Ajinca20200.170.33-0.170.0252316.814.22.6714.015.2-1.18
Tyreke Evans62600.110.39-0.280.23-411-1514.814.60.2015.015.00.01
Luke Babbitt32300.060.44-0.380.0025-314.614.8-0.1815.414.80.57
Omer Asik37370.010.49-0.480.07-29-1114.414.9-0.4515.514.70.83
Russ Smith110.000.50-0.500.0007-71.014.9-13.868.015.1-7.05
Jeff Withey110.000.50-0.500.0007-71.014.9-13.868.015.1-7.05
Jimmer Fredette21-0.020.52-0.53-0.0207-72.015.0-12.988.015.1-7.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 86, NYK 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,194.5%
CLE 109, DAL 1260.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.4%
MIA 85, LAL 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.2%