NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	76		Excitement	5.8 [655]		MVP	Charles Smith (SAS): +26.2%
San Antonio Spurs	86		Comeback	1.4 [1165]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -16.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.12	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Damone Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.02	19	27%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.12	0.02	10	91%	0.29	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	8	63%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	63%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Amal McCaskill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	29.2	16.5	25.7	2.0	31.3	131.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +55.1%

SAS +1.4%

PHI -15.5%

SAS +4.1%

SAS +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	18.4	15.0	15.6	88.4	98.9	102.3
season	15.9	15.8		99.3	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.0	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.2	17.9	19.2	18.2	18.4
SAS	16.1	15.7	14.2	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damone Brown	4	3	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-15	20	12.5	18.6	-6.15	11.0	15.1	-4.10
Samuel Dalembert	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-9	8	16.5	18.6	-2.19	12.7	15.3	-2.56
Michael Ruffin	34	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-10	10	18.2	18.5	-0.30	16.6	14.0	2.59
Raja Bell	33	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-7	4	18.9	18.0	0.84	15.1	14.9	0.22
Speedy Claxton	68	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-5	0	17.7	20.8	-3.13	14.8	15.5	-0.66
Aaron McKie	73	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	0	-10	17.9	20.8	-2.93	15.2	13.3	1.94
Vonteego Cummings	34	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	18.2	18.5	-0.26	15.2	14.8	0.46
Matt Harpring	52	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	0	-10	19.3	16.9	2.35	14.5	15.7	-1.23
Dikembe Mutombo	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	18.7	14.9	3.84	15.2	12.7	2.43
Corie Blount	43	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	1	-12	19.3	17.4	1.84	14.2	15.7	-1.47

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	81	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-9	28	14.5	21.2	-6.67	18.9	12.1	6.77
Antonio Daniels	51	49	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-5	20	14.9	15.0	-0.03	18.3	18.5	-0.17
Charles Smith	42	41	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-2	14	13.7	16.1	-2.44	18.4	18.4	0.01
Terry Porter	33	31	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	2	6	14.8	15.1	-0.32	18.2	18.5	-0.31
Malik Rose	39	40	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	5	0	15.2	14.8	0.36	18.1	18.6	-0.53
Tony Parker	54	55	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	8	-6	15.1	14.8	0.32	18.5	18.2	0.31
Bruce Bowen	45	45	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	12	-14	16.1	13.7	2.44	18.4	18.4	-0.01
Amal McCaskill	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	7.5	15.1	-7.63	8.5	18.6	-10.10
David Robinson	52	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	11	-12	15.8	13.7	2.12	18.1	18.7	-0.60
Steven Smith	36	37	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	15	-20	15.0	14.9	0.03	18.5	18.3	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
DAL 95, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	93.9%
UTA 100, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%