NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	6.5 [480]		MVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): +9.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Comeback	1.4 [299]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -14.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.04	16	68%	0.23	6	-0.19	18	89%	0.05
Ronnie Price	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	12	56%	0.06	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	58%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	10	32%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.05	0.06	10	50%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.03	15	56%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	16	59%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	64%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Richard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	17	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	17	52%	0.03	4	-0.09	8	62%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	10	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.7	29.6	15.5	29.3	1.8	41.0	144.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +8.7%

UTA -13.5%

MIN +21.3%

MIN +32.7%

MIN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	13.5	15.1	15.4	100.0	109.9	105.7
season	15.5	15.9		111.2	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		109.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.8	17.2	12.6	12.1	13.5
MIN	15.4	16.3	16.2	13.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	50	51	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-14	17	12.7	14.3	-1.66	15.8	14.5	1.34
Carlos Boozer	82	83	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-9	7	12.7	17.1	-4.32	14.9	16.2	-1.25
Andrei Kirilenko	69	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-8	5	13.3	14.0	-0.66	14.9	15.6	-0.63
Ronnie Price	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-9	7	12.9	13.7	-0.79	14.5	15.4	-0.85
Deron Williams	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-2	-7	13.7	12.9	0.79	15.4	14.5	0.85
Paul Millsap	41	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	13.7	13.4	0.38	15.5	14.8	0.69
Matt Harpring	48	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	0	-11	12.3	14.6	-2.30	14.4	16.0	-1.59
Kyle Korver	33	32	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	16.9	11.8	5.12	15.8	14.8	0.94
Mehmet Okur	77	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	2	-15	14.2	11.1	3.09	15.2	15.1	0.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	73	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-3	17	14.7	16.2	-1.44	13.7	13.1	0.62
Craig Smith	41	41	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-1	13	14.7	15.4	-0.68	13.6	13.4	0.17
Ryan Gomes	63	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	0	11	15.8	14.0	1.83	14.1	12.5	1.58
Kirk Snyder	48	47	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	3	5	15.6	14.7	0.93	14.8	12.4	2.37
Randy Foye	78	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	4	3	14.4	17.6	-3.14	12.5	16.8	-4.25
Al Jefferson	84	84	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	5	1	15.3	14.1	1.23	13.0	15.9	-2.89
Chris Richard	2	2	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	10	-9	12.5	15.2	-2.69	19.0	13.4	5.60
Sebastian Telfair	62	62	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	9	-7	14.9	15.5	-0.57	13.8	13.0	0.87
Corey Brewer	26	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	11	-11	16.6	14.6	1.94	13.9	13.4	0.47
Theo Ratliff	28	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	17	-23	15.1	15.2	-0.04	12.0	14.0	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 76, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.8%
MIA 85, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%
LAC 91, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.7%