NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	6.7 [491]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (SAS): +14.3%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	1.6 [919]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -14.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	2	100%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	18	56%	0.09	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	29%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Al Horford	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	14	59%	0.14	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Josh Powell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	12	56%	0.04	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	12	37%	-0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.02	0.06	8	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	67%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	10	67%	0.17	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Manu Ginobili	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	14	55%	0.20	6	-0.18	5	80%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	14	53%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Ime Udoka	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	31.5	15.0	27.1	1.7	31.6	131.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.9%

SAS +17.9%

SAS +1.2%

SAS +12.1%

ATL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAS	NBA	ATL	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.0	15.5	100.0	116.1	105.7
season	16.5	15.5		104.0	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.5	15.2	17.6	14.5	16.1
SAS	16.0	14.2	16.0	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-17	18	15.9	16.2	-0.35	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Josh Smith	60	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-16	16	16.4	15.6	0.77	15.9	13.5	2.43
Jason Collins	52	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-14	12	16.4	15.7	0.75	15.4	14.6	0.86
Josh Powell	33	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-10	4	15.5	16.4	-0.86	14.5	15.3	-0.88
Damien Wilkins	22	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-8	0	16.5	16.0	0.47	11.3	16.2	-4.94
Marvin Williams	80	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-7	-2	15.7	18.4	-2.67	15.6	10.8	4.79
Al Horford	55	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	3	-22	16.7	15.2	1.57	16.2	13.2	3.00
Mike Bibby	62	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	1	-18	15.8	16.7	-0.84	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Jamal Crawford	69	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.02	-20	4	-24	16.0	16.3	-0.33	13.9	18.4	-4.55

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	73	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	-4	24	14.4	17.4	-3.07	15.9	16.6	-0.71
DeJuan Blair	51	53	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	1	14	15.1	15.0	0.08	15.9	16.4	-0.54
Tony Parker	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	3	10	15.2	14.7	0.52	16.6	15.0	1.55
Richard Jefferson	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.00	12	4	8	15.5	14.1	1.39	16.6	15.0	1.61
Matt Bonner	46	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	8	0	15.2	14.9	0.35	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Gary Neal	28	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	12	-8	14.1	15.5	-1.39	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Tim Duncan	52	52	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	12	-8	15.5	14.5	0.99	17.0	14.9	2.12
Antonio McDyess	29	28	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	14	-12	14.4	15.3	-0.91	15.7	16.3	-0.60
Ime Udoka	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	14.7	15.1	-0.39	10.5	16.2	-5.72
Chris Quinn	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	14.7	15.1	-0.39	10.5	16.2	-5.72
Tiago Splitter	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	14.7	15.1	-0.39	10.5	16.2	-5.72
Manu Ginobili	47	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	20	-24	15.6	14.5	1.16	16.2	16.0	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 76, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.3%
NYK 106, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
NYK 76, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.0%