NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	6.7 [441]		MVP	Lawrence Funderburke (SAC): +11.3%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.5 [779]		LVP	Terry Dehere (SAC): -15.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	12	58%	0.15	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	15	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.04	0.04	11	75%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	24	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Khalid Reeves	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	82%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	16	61%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	9	55%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	15	44%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	17	45%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	6	36%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.06
Terry Dehere	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	0.00	10	20%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.7	25.0	15.6	22.2	1.8	32.2	119.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +22.8%

DAL -15.4%

SAC +29.8%

SAC +11.6%

SAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.6	104.4	109.7	102.5
season	15.8	15.2		98.3	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.8	17.3	15.5	17.4	15.9
SAC	14.5	15.4	16.5	15.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	18	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-5	3	13.7	16.4	-2.70	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Samaki Walker	33	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-5	3	17.5	15.0	2.55	15.5	15.3	0.20
Hubert Davis	38	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-1	-5	15.7	16.0	-0.35	14.3	16.2	-1.96
A.C. Green	79	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-5	3	15.6	17.9	-2.33	15.0	17.7	-2.70
Khalid Reeves	47	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-7	7	15.7	16.1	-0.48	16.0	14.8	1.20
Kevin Ollie	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	17.8	15.1	2.68	14.4	15.8	-1.43
Michael Finley	72	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-5	3	14.6	20.7	-6.06	15.0	17.0	-1.98
Dennis Scott	72	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	-1	-5	17.3	10.7	6.58	16.4	11.2	5.27
Shawn Bradley	70	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.33	-10	3	-13	15.5	17.3	-1.81	15.8	14.1	1.71

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	81	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	15.2	17.0	-1.81	15.7	17.2	-1.47
Anthony Johnson	54	52	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	1	5	15.6	15.2	0.41	16.9	14.5	2.37
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	19	19	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	1	5	16.4	15.2	1.26	17.3	15.5	1.74
Lawrence Funderburke	43	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	3	1	15.0	15.8	-0.82	14.9	16.6	-1.68
Olden Polynice	67	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.13	5	2	3	15.0	16.5	-1.50	14.0	20.5	-6.53
Michael Stewart	26	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	5	-3	16.5	15.0	1.50	20.5	14.0	6.53
Mitch Richmond	70	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	5	-3	15.6	14.7	0.90	16.6	13.6	3.01
Terry Dehere	57	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	4	-1	15.2	15.7	-0.45	14.3	18.6	-4.31
Billy Owens	48	47	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	8	-9	15.5	15.3	0.17	16.3	15.5	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.4%
PHI 76, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.9%
UTA 90, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,1,1,1	93.9%