NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	6.7 [489]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +23.6%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	1.7 [931]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -20.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	12	68%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Kris Humphries	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	1	80%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	0	80%	0.06	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Robert Whaley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keith McLeod	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	7	58%	-0.01	3	-0.08	12	75%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	11	44%	-0.01	6	-0.19	3	33%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.08	-0.01	15	76%	0.33	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	12	61%	0.16	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	4	58%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	4	-0.13	2	0%	-0.06
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	12	27%	-0.11	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	34.5	16.7	30.2	3.4	33.6	146.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +16.9%

NYK +12.9%

UTA -6.5%

NYK +28.0%

UTA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	17.3	14.4	15.6	98.9	107.7	104.4
season	17.0	15.7		101.7	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.0		108.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.5	19.5	16.0	15.2	17.3
NYK	12.8	13.3	14.0	17.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Whaley	41	41	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-9	10	17.3	17.3	0.01	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Jarron Collins	38	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-14	20	18.3	16.6	1.68	16.2	13.1	3.08
Keith McLeod	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-2	-4	19.1	17.0	2.05	12.8	14.6	-1.76
Greg Ostertag	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	17.8	17.2	0.55	13.7	14.4	-0.67
Milt Palacio	55	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-8	8	17.0	17.8	-0.81	15.5	12.6	2.91
Devin Brown	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-1	-6	17.9	16.7	1.25	12.9	15.7	-2.85
Deron Williams	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-4	0	18.6	16.3	2.33	13.4	15.1	-1.76
Kris Humphries	10	10	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	0	-8	14.4	17.6	-3.24	10.2	14.9	-4.68
Gordan Giricek	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-4	0	16.6	19.6	-2.97	14.3	14.5	-0.24
Matt Harpring	53	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-5	2	16.6	18.2	-1.63	15.5	12.7	2.75
Mehmet Okur	84	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.23	-11	3	-14	17.1	19.1	-2.01	14.3	15.3	-1.04

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	79	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-3	14	14.6	13.1	1.47	17.2	17.8	-0.65
Jamal Crawford	61	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-4	16	15.0	13.2	1.78	16.9	18.1	-1.21
Maurice Taylor	42	43	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-4	16	13.2	15.4	-2.18	17.8	16.8	1.00
Qyntel Woods	31	31	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-4	16	12.5	15.3	-2.80	18.2	16.8	1.43
Malik Rose	32	29	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	3	2	15.2	13.9	1.22	15.5	18.1	-2.65
David Lee	7	6	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	0	8	12.0	14.6	-2.56	21.8	17.0	4.87
Antonio Davis	55	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.35	-7	15	-22	15.7	12.2	3.50	16.9	17.9	-1.07
Quentin Richardson	62	63	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	10	-12	15.1	12.9	2.20	16.9	18.1	-1.13
Channing Frye	18	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	5	-2	13.0	14.7	-1.70	18.0	17.1	0.92
Trevor Ariza	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	11	-14	13.7	14.7	-0.94	17.3	17.3	0.09
Jerome James	28	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	13	-18	14.0	14.5	-0.58	17.7	17.1	0.57
Nate Robinson	8	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	14	-20	12.1	14.6	-2.45	20.1	17.0	3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	93.9%
PHX 115, LAL 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.7%
LAC 101, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.2%