inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 93 Excitement6.7 [483] MVPAndres Nocioni (CHI): +28.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves 99 Comeback1.7 [906] LVPOthella Harrington (CHI): -14.0%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andres Nocioni0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.280.200.120.041179%0.2800.00771%-0.01
Michael Sweetney0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.080.070.020.01967%0.0800.0000%0.00
Darius Songaila-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.030.00644%0.032-0.05475%0.01
Tyson Chandler-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.040.00467%0.052-0.0910%-0.01
Kirk Hinrich-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.040.011452%0.012-0.055100%0.03
Chris Duhon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00420%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Luol Deng-0.080,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.00744%-0.032-0.05250%-0.02
Ben Gordon-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.01-0.070.031756%0.013-0.1000%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.0030%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.0130%-0.082-0.0620%-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.180.180.120.070.011957%0.201-0.031191%0.04
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.160.160.100.060.001269%0.223-0.061292%0.07
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.050.09-0.001055%0.1400.002100%0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.030.02370%0.0500.00475%-0.01
Trenton Hassell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.011050%0.012-0.05850%-0.07
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00050%-0.001-0.03250%-0.02
Rashad McCants0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Eddie Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00720%-0.0700.001100%0.00
Marko Jaric0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.14-0.02-0.021330%-0.063-0.07475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.833.216.726.22.642.2145.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +2.2%
MIN +20.5%
MIN +8.3%
MIN +18.8%
MIN +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMINNBACHIMINNBA
this game14.016.815.698.9106.5104.4
season14.416.1102.6101.0
opponent15.916.1103.1102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.212.917.013.214.0
MIN15.618.416.416.816.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Songaila55520.00-0.500.51-0.145-111613.814.3-0.4917.116.50.59
Chris Duhon4340-0.07-0.430.35-0.132-81013.414.5-1.1116.716.8-0.08
Othella Harrington1818-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-5413.614.1-0.5116.416.9-0.50
Michael Sweetney3839-0.09-0.410.31-0.245-111615.712.92.8817.316.50.79
Jannero Pargo86-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-3012.914.1-1.2519.316.62.71
Tyson Chandler3436-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-126-1813.614.3-0.6815.517.6-2.11
Ben Gordon5556-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.19-60-615.112.62.4916.417.3-0.88
Luol Deng7171-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.22-60-614.113.70.3716.916.50.39
Kirk Hinrich8889-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.32-3-3013.817.3-3.5417.011.25.79
Andres Nocioni6058-0.580.08-0.66-0.26-115-1613.315.2-1.8616.816.8-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marko Jaric75770.51-0.010.520.307-1816.717.3-0.6714.014.2-0.19
Kevin Garnett77790.51-0.010.510.3651416.816.8-0.0214.412.02.41
Wally Szczerbiak80790.410.090.320.149-31216.518.7-2.2014.212.91.29
Anthony Carter31310.390.110.290.3133016.716.9-0.1813.414.3-0.99
Mark Madsen29320.340.160.170.1660616.117.1-1.0613.914.1-0.17
Trenton Hassell74730.300.200.100.3006-617.514.23.2514.014.1-0.10
Troy Hudson43440.140.36-0.230.0242217.116.60.5113.514.5-1.02
Eddie Griffin4443-0.040.54-0.570.02-28-1016.916.70.1314.413.70.78
Rashad McCants1212-0.050.55-0.610.01-28-1016.416.9-0.4413.014.2-1.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 95, SAC 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,194.4%
MIA 76, ORL 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,194.0%
CHA 96, IND 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,194.0%