NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	76		Excitement	6.4 [544]		MVP	Daequan Cook (MIA): +14.2%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	1.4 [1043]		LVP	Mario Chalmers (MIA): -15.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daequan Cook	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.07	-0.03	9	56%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	29	55%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Mario Chalmers	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	11	21%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.13	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	12	61%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	10	67%	0.09	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	10	45%	0.11	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	56%	0.06	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	-0.04	14	19%	-0.14	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	27.4	16.8	25.3	1.8	34.4	132.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.2%

ORL +2.7%

ORL +27.9%

MIA -5.2%

ORL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	ORL	NBA	MIA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.1	16.0	15.5	87.4	98.9	106.4
season	16.0	15.3		105.9	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		101.4	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.8	15.6	19.0	16.9	17.1
ORL	13.9	18.0	16.1	16.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Quinn	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	0.0	17.1	-17.06	36.0	15.8	20.19
Yakhouba Diawara	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	0.0	17.1	-17.06	36.0	15.8	20.19
Jamaal Magloire	33	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-10	10	16.4	17.5	-1.07	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Joel Anthony	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-7	4	18.1	16.2	1.85	16.9	15.3	1.58
Michael Beasley	23	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-10	10	16.4	17.3	-0.85	18.0	15.3	2.69
Marcus Banks	26	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-7	4	16.3	17.4	-1.07	16.0	16.1	-0.12
Daequan Cook	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-10	10	15.4	18.9	-3.44	17.0	15.0	2.07
Udonis Haslem	64	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	0	-10	17.3	16.4	0.85	15.3	18.0	-2.69
Mario Chalmers	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	1	-12	17.7	15.7	1.96	15.8	16.6	-0.85
Dwyane Wade	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	2	-14	17.2	16.5	0.70	15.9	16.6	-0.71
Shawn Marion	75	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	5	-20	17.5	14.6	2.87	14.9	22.9	-7.97

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	-3	16	15.5	17.9	-2.37	17.3	16.3	0.98
Hedo Turkoglu	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.16	10	0	10	16.2	15.1	1.16	17.6	14.1	3.47
Courtney Lee	54	54	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	1	8	15.7	16.7	-1.00	15.9	18.9	-2.98
Rashard Lewis	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	1	8	15.6	17.3	-1.70	16.9	17.6	-0.71
Jameer Nelson	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	6	-2	16.5	14.9	1.62	17.5	16.0	1.53
Anthony Johnson	27	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	4	2	14.9	16.5	-1.62	16.0	17.5	-1.53
Tony Battie	36	36	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	9	-8	16.4	15.8	0.68	16.2	17.6	-1.38
Keith Bogans	33	33	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	9	-8	16.7	15.7	1.00	18.9	15.9	2.98
Marcin Gortat	19	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	13	-16	17.9	15.5	2.37	16.3	17.3	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 73, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	95.1%
LAL 98, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.4%
CHI 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.0%