NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	73		Excitement	6.1 [610]		MVP	David West (NOH): +13.6%
New Orleans Hornets	89		Comeback	1.4 [791]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (CHA): -16.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	53%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.09
Derrick Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	10	59%	0.06	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	5	-0.16	4	50%	-0.02
Dominic McGuire	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	8	12%	-0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	7	29%	-0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.02	15	63%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	10	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	64%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	7	62%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	15	33%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	32.2	16.8	27.0	1.6	30.5	133.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +19.7%

NOH +5.9%

NOH +13.5%

NOH +9.3%

NOH +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOH	NBA	CHA	NOH	NBA
this game	17.3	16.4	15.5	84.9	104.7	105.7
season	16.2	16.2		102.3	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.5	19.5	16.8	19.4	17.3
NOH	14.9	16.5	15.9	18.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Brown	17	18	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-21	26	20.6	16.5	4.14	17.3	16.1	1.24
Nazr Mohammed	32	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-15	14	13.8	19.4	-5.64	14.7	17.4	-2.72
Matt Carroll	20	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-11	6	15.0	18.0	-2.97	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Dominic McGuire	44	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-15	14	17.2	17.5	-0.29	16.2	16.5	-0.34
Kwame Brown	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-10	4	18.2	16.9	1.31	16.9	16.1	0.84
D.J. Augustin	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-4	-8	17.2	17.6	-0.44	16.5	15.8	0.72
Boris Diaw	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	-3	-10	17.5	16.6	0.86	16.3	16.7	-0.49
Tyrus Thomas	37	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	0	-16	18.2	16.7	1.56	17.0	15.9	1.05
Shaun Livingston	47	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	-2	-12	18.6	15.8	2.80	16.8	15.8	0.92
Gerald Wallace	75	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	1	-18	17.2	18.4	-1.19	16.4	15.8	0.61

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	69	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-3	22	16.3	16.6	-0.26	17.2	17.9	-0.69
David West	61	60	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-2	20	16.2	16.6	-0.38	17.7	16.4	1.35
Emeka Okafor	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	2	12	16.8	14.8	1.95	17.2	17.7	-0.49
Willie Green	36	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	4	8	16.9	16.0	0.88	17.8	17.0	0.87
Quincy Pondexter	15	15	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	13	-10	18.0	16.0	2.00	20.5	16.6	3.89
Trevor Ariza	70	71	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.15	13	3	10	16.0	18.0	-2.00	16.6	20.5	-3.89
Marcus Thornton	17	18	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	11	-6	16.6	16.3	0.29	19.4	16.8	2.68
Marco Belinelli	37	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	14	-12	15.8	16.8	-1.06	15.7	18.6	-2.99
Jason Smith	31	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	16	-16	16.4	16.3	0.10	17.3	17.3	-0.00
DJ Mbenga	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	18	-20	15.4	16.5	-1.08	16.8	17.4	-0.59
Jarrett Jack	13	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	20	-24	15.5	16.5	-1.05	17.7	17.3	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1	95.1%
HOU 81, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.3%
MIL 81, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	94.0%