NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	81		Excitement	6.3 [570]		MVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): +22.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	1.4 [930]		LVP	Ryan Bowen (HOU): -16.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	17	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luther Head	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	47%	0.00	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	28	49%	0.04	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	11	18%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.09	-0.02	16	65%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	16	53%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.09
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.02	16	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Boniface N'Dong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	4	10%	-0.10	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	29.5	15.8	26.5	2.0	29.2	128.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +59.5%

HOU -12.7%

HOU -2.1%

LAC +3.9%

LAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	16.5	15.6	94.2	101.1	104.4
season	16.1	15.2		99.9	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		102.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.1	16.4	16.3	16.9	16.7
LAC	16.4	15.7	16.4	17.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-7	6	12.0	16.7	-4.71	3.0	16.8	-13.77
Dikembe Mutombo	21	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-9	10	16.5	16.7	-0.23	17.5	16.2	1.30
Moochie Norris	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-8	8	16.7	16.6	0.06	16.8	16.3	0.48
Stromile Swift	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-5	2	17.5	16.2	1.31	16.8	16.3	0.50
Luther Head	43	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-1	-6	15.8	17.5	-1.63	15.6	17.3	-1.73
Ryan Bowen	49	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	2	-12	18.0	14.9	3.04	16.9	15.9	0.97
Juwan Howard	56	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-4	0	16.3	17.3	-1.05	16.8	15.9	0.85
Tracy McGrady	81	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-8	8	16.2	24.0	-7.80	16.7	14.0	2.67
David Wesley	63	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	0	-8	16.6	16.7	-0.06	16.3	16.8	-0.48
Yao Ming	64	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	0	-8	16.8	16.1	0.69	16.2	17.5	-1.30

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	66	64	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-3	14	16.5	16.4	0.06	16.5	17.1	-0.59
Chris Wilcox	58	56	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-2	12	16.1	17.2	-1.18	16.2	17.6	-1.41
Cuttino Mobley	79	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-2	12	16.2	18.9	-2.71	16.9	13.7	3.20
Shaun Livingston	53	51	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	2	4	16.1	16.9	-0.81	16.9	16.3	0.57
Elton Brand	73	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	5	-2	16.4	16.9	-0.50	16.2	18.8	-2.66
Chris Kaman	41	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	6	-4	17.5	15.5	2.03	18.2	15.1	3.02
Quinton Ross	57	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	6	-4	16.6	16.3	0.30	16.2	17.4	-1.25
Boniface N'Dong	2	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	8	-8	22.5	16.3	6.19	17.5	16.6	0.87
Daniel Ewing	11	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	12	-16	16.9	16.4	0.52	16.2	16.7	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 73, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 90, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.97,1,1	94.0%
IND 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.87,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	93.9%