NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	7.8 [273]		MVP	Glen Rice (LAL): +18.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	1.5 [698]		LVP	Brian Shaw (LAL): -13.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.08	-0.00	15	57%	0.11	0	0.00	12	100%	0.14
Sam Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.03	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.01	16	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Zan Tabak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rik Smits	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Mark Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	23	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	14	71%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	15	66%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	72%	0.13	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.04,0,0	-0.00	-0.16	0.13	-0.03	18	53%	0.06	2	-0.06	39	46%	-0.26
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	9	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.4	34.4	23.3	25.5	3.6	57.0	175.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +96.1%

IND -36.7%

LAL +1.8%

IND -12.7%

LAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.0	15.2	105.1	114.4	101.7
season	15.4	15.3		106.5	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.1		98.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	17.0	15.9	14.9	15.3
LAL	12.7	14.9	17.6	11.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	30	33	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-13	19	14.3	15.8	-1.47	15.8	13.1	2.62
Derrick McKey	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-4	1	14.9	15.4	-0.46	12.6	14.2	-1.65
Zan Tabak	6	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	19.2	15.1	4.09	12.5	14.1	-1.60
Mark Jackson	61	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-5	3	14.9	16.1	-1.23	13.7	14.5	-0.74
Dale Davis	67	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-7	7	15.8	14.4	1.35	14.9	12.1	2.84
Travis Best	38	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	16.1	14.9	1.23	14.5	13.7	0.74
Sam Perkins	53	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	6	-19	15.6	15.0	0.52	13.2	14.8	-1.59
Reggie Miller	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-5	3	15.4	15.1	0.35	15.0	11.4	3.62
Austin Croshere	58	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	14.7	16.2	-1.53	11.8	17.0	-5.15
Jalen Rose	99	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.3	0.0	15.32	14.0	0.0	14.03

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	93	94	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-9	25	14.0	15.2	-1.27	15.4	13.6	1.81
Robert Horry	67	69	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	-4	15	13.2	15.9	-2.71	15.4	15.2	0.22
Ron Harper	75	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-6	19	13.9	14.5	-0.61	15.8	13.6	2.23
Brian Shaw	62	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	5	-3	14.4	13.4	1.03	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Glen Rice	68	67	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	6	-5	15.1	11.6	3.54	15.5	15.0	0.52
Rick Fox	35	37	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	3	1	11.6	15.4	-3.76	14.4	15.9	-1.47
Derek Fisher	32	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	9	-11	14.4	13.8	0.61	15.6	15.2	0.40
Kobe Bryant	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	4	-1	13.3	14.2	-0.89	14.7	15.5	-0.73
Travis Knight	2	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	14.0	14.0	-0.03	14.0	15.4	-1.36
A.C. Green	30	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	11	-15	15.9	13.2	2.71	15.2	15.4	-0.22
John Salley	2	2	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	13	-19	16.5	14.0	2.52	13.0	15.4	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.87,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.98,1,1	93.9%
CHA 97, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.96,1	93.3%
PHI 90, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.97,1,1	93.1%