NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	97		Excitement	7.7 [268]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +37.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	1.6 [715]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -16.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.13	0.00	16	75%	0.34	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.07
Nazr Mohammed	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	15	62%	0.26	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Stephen Graham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Derrick Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	27%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	13	42%	-0.05	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.17	0.20	-0.01	10	83%	0.37	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.00	13	48%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	9	64%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	14	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	11	42%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	12	19%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	31.2	16.4	28.6	3.4	34.6	139.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.8%

CHA -0.8%

CHA -13.6%

LAL +24.8%

CHA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAL	NBA	CHA	LAL	NBA
this game	17.4	16.5	15.3	112.8	117.9	106.0
season	16.2	15.7		103.0	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.2	16.7	18.4	18.5	17.4
LAL	16.5	16.8	15.9	16.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	43	41	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-8	14	16.9	17.9	-1.02	16.8	16.2	0.64
Derrick Brown	23	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	6	-14	17.0	17.5	-0.48	16.2	16.6	-0.36
DeSagana Diop	34	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	2	-6	17.6	17.3	0.27	15.6	17.0	-1.38
Raymond Felton	60	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-7	12	16.6	19.2	-2.52	15.7	18.3	-2.60
D.J. Augustin	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	5	-12	19.2	16.6	2.52	18.3	15.7	2.60
Boris Diaw	42	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-6	10	18.0	16.8	1.18	17.1	15.7	1.37
Nazr Mohammed	73	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-6	10	17.1	19.2	-2.07	16.5	16.2	0.38
Stephen Jackson	80	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	0	-2	17.6	15.0	2.58	16.5	16.2	0.29
Ronald Murray	49	48	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.40	-8	6	-14	17.6	17.2	0.36	16.2	16.9	-0.72

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	44	43	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.41	8	-6	14	16.2	16.7	-0.47	18.7	16.1	2.51
Lamar Odom	48	49	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-3	8	16.4	16.6	-0.28	17.8	16.9	0.84
Metta World Peace	50	50	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.48	-1	3	-4	16.7	16.1	0.65	18.7	15.5	3.21
Shannon Brown	42	44	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	-6	14	16.7	16.2	0.52	17.8	17.0	0.82
Pau Gasol	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	1	0	16.3	16.8	-0.42	17.2	17.9	-0.77
Kobe Bryant	65	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	1	0	16.4	16.7	-0.27	16.9	19.0	-2.06
Andrew Bynum	62	64	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.23	-2	4	-6	16.7	15.9	0.83	17.3	17.5	-0.20
Sasha Vujacic	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	2	-2	10.0	16.6	-6.55	0.0	17.6	-17.60
Luke Walton	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	6	-10	15.1	16.7	-1.56	13.7	17.9	-4.18
Derek Fisher	40	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	8	-14	16.7	16.2	0.47	16.1	18.7	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	93.6%
IND 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.87,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	93.3%
HOU 81, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.98,1,1	93.2%