NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	81		Excitement	6.4 [521]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +2.4%
Phoenix Suns	86		Comeback	1.4 [949]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -14.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Caffey	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	9	62%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Flip Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	8	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	21	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	18	46%	-0.09	2	-0.03	12	83%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	20	47%	0.02	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.07
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	12	38%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	11	42%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	10	41%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	13	43%	-0.05	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.0	33.1	15.4	21.6	2.4	37.4	134.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +5.4%

MIL -5.6%

PHX +44.9%

PHX +2.5%

PHX +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.7	15.2	15.5	86.2	93.5	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		106.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		100.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	15.1	18.0	15.0	15.7
PHX	14.4	14.9	15.5	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	26	27	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-8	11	15.7	15.7	-0.08	16.5	14.7	1.80
Flip Murray	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	4.0	16.0	-11.97	3.5	15.5	-12.01
Tim Thomas	42	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-4	3	15.9	15.6	0.30	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Kevin Ollie	59	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-10	15	15.9	15.3	0.59	15.4	14.9	0.52
Dan Gadzuric	47	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	17.2	14.3	2.91	15.2	15.3	-0.17
Marcus Haislip	40	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-1	-3	13.8	17.1	-3.29	15.3	15.2	0.01
Jason Caffey	55	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	16.8	14.2	2.53	16.0	14.3	1.73
Michael Redd	73	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-3	1	16.2	14.0	2.14	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Toni Kukoc	48	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	3	-11	14.3	17.2	-2.90	14.4	16.1	-1.70
Sam Cassell	78	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	6	-17	15.6	16.5	-0.95	15.5	13.9	1.66

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	87	88	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	1	3	15.4	12.2	3.23	15.4	20.5	-5.11
Stephon Marbury	79	82	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-2	9	14.7	18.5	-3.83	15.5	17.0	-1.48
Anfernee Hardaway	58	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	0	5	15.3	15.1	0.26	16.1	15.0	1.13
Bo Outlaw	37	37	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	3	-1	15.1	15.3	-0.24	14.4	16.6	-2.20
Amar'e Stoudemire	67	70	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.33	-3	8	-11	15.5	14.5	1.06	15.3	16.9	-1.62
Dan Langhi	17	17	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	1	3	14.8	15.3	-0.52	17.9	15.2	2.72
Joe Johnson	38	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	5	-5	14.7	15.6	-0.92	14.9	16.2	-1.38
Casey Jacobsen	26	25	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	2	1	15.8	15.0	0.83	17.1	15.2	1.92
Jake Tsakalidis	55	57	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	15.4	15.0	0.46	15.8	15.6	0.19
Scott Williams	18	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	8	-11	15.8	15.1	0.73	17.8	15.2	2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.4%
MIA 82, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.0%
DET 91, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.86,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,1	94.0%