NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	6.7 [484]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +33.1%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	1.4 [1155]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -16.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	6	73%	0.10	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	14	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
D'Angelo Russell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	20	42%	-0.11	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.20	0.17	0.04	25	67%	0.39	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	10	73%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	57%	0.12	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	17	42%	-0.02	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	29.2	15.5	21.7	2.4	28.2	120.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +44.3%

LAL -5.4%

CHA +11.6%

CHA +0.4%

LAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	14.9	98.0	108.0	105.1
season	15.2	15.1		100.1	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.5		103.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.9	13.9	16.6	13.4	14.6
CHA	14.5	13.3	15.4	13.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	32	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-13	16	14.3	14.8	-0.48	14.9	13.9	1.03
D'Angelo Russell	50	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-11	12	14.2	15.0	-0.82	14.0	14.4	-0.33
Julius Randle	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-9	8	14.2	14.9	-0.66	13.4	14.8	-1.40
Larry Nance Jr.	56	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-5	0	14.6	14.7	-0.09	14.6	13.7	0.91
Brandon Bass	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-5	0	14.7	14.6	0.09	13.7	14.6	-0.91
Roy Hibbert	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	14.9	14.2	0.66	14.8	13.4	1.40
Lou Williams	80	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	14.3	16.0	-1.74	14.2	14.3	-0.14
Kobe Bryant	68	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.07	-13	3	-16	14.8	14.3	0.48	13.9	14.9	-1.03
Jordan Clarkson	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.11	-14	4	-18	15.3	13.0	2.30	14.3	13.8	0.51

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	86	86	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.18	14	-4	18	14.4	13.0	1.38	15.0	12.3	2.70
Marvin Williams	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	-1	12	14.5	13.8	0.75	15.1	14.0	1.09
Jeremy Lin	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	5	0	13.9	15.0	-1.04	14.1	16.0	-1.83
Cody Zeller	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	0	10	14.6	13.3	1.30	14.7	14.5	0.18
Nicolas Batum	75	75	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	3	4	14.6	13.0	1.53	14.6	14.6	0.07
Jeremy Lamb	25	25	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	7	-4	13.0	14.6	-1.53	14.6	14.6	-0.07
Al Jefferson	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	10	-10	13.3	14.6	-1.30	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Frank Kaminsky	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	11	-12	13.8	14.5	-0.75	14.0	15.1	-1.09
PJ Hairston	40	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	9	-8	14.3	14.1	0.14	14.7	14.6	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.4%
DET 85, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%
IND 88, CHH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.93,0.92,1	93.1%