NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	5.5 [757]		MVP	Rasual Butler (MIA): +11.2%
Miami Heat	104		Comeback	1.2 [1041]		LVP	Jon Barry (HOU): -8.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	14	65%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Tracy McGrady	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	26	47%	0.02	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	13	66%	0.06	5	-0.13	6	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	2	150%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	14	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	9	80%	0.14	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	18	58%	-0.01	2	-0.06	16	87%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	11	56%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.5	32.2	17.7	26.5	3.4	39.6	149.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +37.6%

MIA +10.8%

HOU -0.7%

MIA +4.7%

HOU -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIA	NBA	HOU	MIA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.5	106.7	115.6	104.0
season	16.0	15.7		104.2	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		101.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	18.3	16.2	15.6	16.4
MIA	14.5	15.1	17.3	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	17	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-8	7	18.0	16.0	2.01	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Jon Barry	31	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-12	15	17.9	15.6	2.30	16.2	15.6	0.53
Scott Padgett	26	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.12	1	-10	11	15.6	16.7	-1.07	13.7	16.7	-3.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	11	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-5	1	15.8	16.4	-0.63	18.0	15.5	2.46
Rod Strickland	19	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	2	-13	17.6	16.0	1.54	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Bob Sura	70	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	16.4	16.4	0.00	16.4	13.7	2.70
Yao Ming	62	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-7	5	16.4	16.3	0.11	15.9	15.6	0.31
Juwan Howard	62	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	3	-15	16.3	16.5	-0.21	16.5	14.4	2.11
Tracy McGrady	81	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	16.5	14.7	1.78	15.6	17.9	-2.22
David Wesley	66	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	-1	-7	15.1	20.0	-4.84	15.4	17.1	-1.69

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	76	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-2	13	15.5	17.5	-2.00	15.3	21.5	-6.21
Dwyane Wade	75	73	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	2	5	15.5	17.3	-1.83	16.5	16.0	0.45
Damon Jones	65	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	1	7	15.4	16.8	-1.37	16.2	16.9	-0.76
Shaquille O'Neal	50	50	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	0	9	15.6	16.0	-0.43	17.5	14.9	2.58
Udonis Haslem	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	5	-1	16.0	15.2	0.81	15.7	19.3	-3.61
Shandon Anderson	33	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	5	-1	15.8	15.8	0.01	17.2	15.8	1.41
Michael Doleac	40	38	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	9	-9	16.0	15.6	0.43	15.1	17.3	-2.16
Keyon Dooling	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	8	-7	16.8	15.4	1.37	16.9	16.2	0.76
Rasual Butler	14	14	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	8	-7	18.3	15.4	2.93	22.2	15.3	6.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MIL 111, HOU 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.96,1,1	94.5%
DEN 88, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,1	94.4%