inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 111 Excitement6.3 [608] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +18.5%
Houston Rockets 115 Comeback1.4 [1144] LVPEric Bledsoe (MIL): -8.1%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.10-0.020.011274%0.122-0.053100%0.02
Gary Payton II0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.00267%0.0500.002100%0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.020.012252%0.113-0.081080%0.04
Rashad Vaughn0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Thon Maker0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00160%0.0300.003100%0.01
Sterling Brown0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00475%0.061-0.0400%0.00
DeAndre Liggins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
John Henson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.01350%0.002-0.07475%0.00
Khris Middleton-0.070,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.070.08-0.030.121761%-0.042-0.034100%0.01
Eric Bledsoe-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.001844%0.003-0.08757%-0.02

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.180.180.080.09-0.012155%0.233-0.051479%0.03
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.150.150.060.08-0.001374%0.276-0.128100%0.06
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.020.01976%0.1300.00367%0.00
PJ Tucker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.03-0.01567%0.1100.005100%0.04
Eric Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011062%0.155-0.15683%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0-0.000.010.010.021150%0.031-0.03475%0.01
Tarik Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00350%-0.0100.0020%-0.01
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.51.828.013.030.01.835.2138.3
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +34.7%
HOU +15.6%
MIL -2.5%
HOU +3.1%
MIL -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILHOUNBAMILHOUNBA
this game13.614.514.7107.8112.7107.5
season14.314.6108.5112.8
opponent14.815.4105.6108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.112.813.713.813.6
HOU13.614.916.313.314.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashad Vaughn14150.06-0.560.620.002-6814.613.41.2015.114.40.66
Sterling Brown31300.01-0.510.51-0.145-91414.013.40.5713.414.9-1.51
Gary Payton II1112-0.03-0.470.43-0.092-6813.113.7-0.5714.414.5-0.09
Malcolm Brogdon8180-0.15-0.350.20-0.419-132213.015.9-2.9313.916.5-2.61
John Henson6967-0.22-0.280.06-0.282-6812.416.1-3.6715.313.02.24
Thon Maker3536-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.08-73-1015.612.63.0312.715.5-2.75
DeAndre Liggins3334-0.34-0.16-0.170.02-128-2014.813.01.8315.414.11.28
Eric Bledsoe7775-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.22-62-813.414.3-1.0015.013.11.84
Giannis Antetokounmpo9090-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.26-51-613.613.8-0.1914.712.72.08
Khris Middleton7471-0.730.23-0.95-0.43-106-1613.912.81.1314.414.7-0.25

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
PJ Tucker81800.64-0.140.770.3410-61614.315.2-0.9314.012.11.95
Chris Paul76760.53-0.030.550.327-31015.013.11.8613.713.30.46
Trevor Ariza88890.430.070.360.3431214.613.90.6613.712.90.86
James Harden83850.320.180.150.2913-214.713.61.1313.016.3-3.31
Tarik Black26270.300.200.090.33-15-613.314.9-1.5513.813.50.29
Ryan Anderson48480.290.210.070.058-41215.213.91.3414.013.30.67
Eric Gordon64660.200.30-0.100.2004-413.616.0-2.3914.012.91.07
Nene4444-0.200.70-0.890.04-812-2014.714.40.2812.414.5-2.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.96,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 95, MIA 1040.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.5%
SAS 106, GSW 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.0%
ATL 107, SAC 1190.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,193.9%