inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 107 Excitement6.8 [426] MVPFrancisco Garcia (SAC): +32.2%
Sacramento Kings 119 Comeback1.5 [882] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -20.0%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Childress0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.05-0.01869%0.212-0.071090%0.04
Mike Bibby0.080,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.01-0.011074%0.142-0.06333%-0.03
Jeremy Richardson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.00487%0.0700.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.021262%0.092-0.04250%-0.01
Marvin Williams0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.030.02865%0.092-0.06475%0.01
Mario West0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Salim Stoudamire0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al Horford-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.001150%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Acie Law-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.00650%0.011-0.042100%0.02
Zaza Pachulia-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.00333%-0.002-0.06667%0.00
Josh Smith-0.200,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.13-0.070.001239%-0.125-0.08450%-0.03

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.130.17-0.02887%0.3200.0000%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.090.04-0.021858%0.181-0.02978%-0.01
Metta World Peace0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.150.010.021276%0.223-0.091471%-0.02
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.060.02562%0.0900.00367%-0.01
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.02-0.002100%0.091-0.013100%0.02
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.061555%0.0200.003100%0.00
Quincy Douby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03520%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.00-0.021243%0.004-0.074100%0.03
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.06-0.0050%-0.121-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.22.434.115.633.61.829.5146.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +24.0%
SAC +4.8%
SAC +12.0%
SAC +12.1%
ATL -2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLSACNBAATLSACNBA
this game14.515.515.4110.3125.3105.7
season15.414.9104.2105.6
opponent15.015.7108.0107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.716.212.613.914.5
SAC13.715.114.618.915.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario West870.03-0.530.560.030-121212.714.7-1.9513.115.7-2.52
Salim Stoudamire330.00-0.500.50-0.031-13146.314.8-8.469.315.7-6.34
Jeremy Richardson1716-0.02-0.480.470.04-2-10815.814.31.4914.115.7-1.62
Acie Law3433-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-131415.713.91.8514.915.8-0.91
Joe Johnson5355-0.12-0.380.27-0.120-121214.814.20.6116.014.71.34
Zaza Pachulia3129-0.19-0.310.13-0.13-2-10816.813.53.3414.615.8-1.23
Josh Childress7774-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.07-8-4-414.614.30.3014.519.0-4.53
Josh Smith5455-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-8-4-413.116.3-3.1716.514.12.42
Mike Bibby6059-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-142-1614.315.0-0.7116.114.41.70
Al Horford8785-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.11-131-1414.713.21.4915.515.5-0.03
Marvin Williams6159-0.610.11-0.72-0.17-153-1814.015.5-1.4916.314.12.24

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace75770.60-0.100.710.0220-82816.013.42.5615.411.34.01
Beno Udrih70720.56-0.060.620.0617-52215.814.61.1314.514.8-0.30
Kevin Martin67680.460.040.43-0.0116-42015.914.41.4814.614.40.22
Brad Miller64650.410.090.310.11102816.812.64.2015.113.41.73
Francisco Garcia46460.330.170.150.1566016.514.52.0715.213.91.25
Mikki Moore44460.200.30-0.10-0.0175214.516.3-1.8615.213.91.34
Shelden Williams20200.150.35-0.190.18-113-1413.616.0-2.3112.015.2-3.13
Quincy Douby330.000.50-0.500.03-113-149.315.7-6.346.314.8-8.46
Spencer Hawes2829-0.040.54-0.580.05-315-1813.516.3-2.7512.915.2-2.34
Anthony Johnson2828-0.060.56-0.620.12-618-2414.116.1-1.9913.914.8-0.95
John Salmons3031-0.110.61-0.720.03-517-2214.316.0-1.7213.814.9-1.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 111, HOU 1150.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.96,1,193.9%
WAS 101, MIN 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,193.8%
SAS 106, GSW 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.6%