NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	5.5 [733]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (BOS): +25.2%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	1.6 [755]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -15.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	61%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.05	0.04	12	59%	0.12	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02	0.09	-0.03	0.04	11	66%	0.02	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	7	47%	0.00	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.04	0.03	17	34%	-0.11	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	12	85%	0.35	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.10	0.02	7	95%	0.29	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.00	14	63%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	11	69%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	6	33%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	28.3	15.7	28.2	2.4	35.2	137.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +72.2%

CHA -6.2%

CHA -21.0%

BOS +3.3%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	16.3	16.8	15.5	108.0	113.8	105.7
season	16.2	15.7		102.3	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.8	16.7	20.1	15.0	16.3
BOS	17.5	16.8	15.9	17.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	28	28	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.15	10	-15	25	15.0	16.8	-1.81	17.2	16.7	0.55
Nazr Mohammed	27	26	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-8	11	15.5	16.6	-1.08	19.0	15.9	3.03
Shaun Livingston	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-1	-3	18.0	15.3	2.75	16.2	17.2	-0.98
Tyrus Thomas	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-10	15	15.4	17.5	-2.13	16.3	17.6	-1.27
D.J. Augustin	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-4	3	15.3	18.0	-2.75	17.2	16.2	0.98
Boris Diaw	53	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	1	-7	16.2	16.4	-0.24	16.5	17.3	-0.80
Kwame Brown	44	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.06	-12	7	-19	17.9	14.6	3.24	16.6	17.1	-0.55
Stephen Jackson	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	0	-5	16.3	16.3	-0.03	16.7	17.3	-0.52
Gerald Wallace	73	74	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.28	-15	10	-25	16.7	13.8	2.95	16.8	17.2	-0.37

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	64	64	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-14	33	16.3	18.3	-2.05	16.8	14.8	2.01
Ray Allen	71	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-6	17	16.9	16.6	0.26	16.9	14.2	2.70
Glen Davis	62	61	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-6	17	17.1	16.1	1.01	17.0	14.5	2.46
Rajon Rondo	65	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-1	7	17.5	14.8	2.70	16.7	15.0	1.66
Paul Pierce	44	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-7	19	16.1	17.6	-1.56	17.4	15.1	2.36
Marquis Daniels	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.43	-9	14	-23	17.3	16.2	1.09	15.5	17.4	-1.93
Nate Robinson	22	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	6	-7	14.8	17.5	-2.70	15.0	16.7	-1.66
Luke Harangody	26	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.14	-9	14	-23	16.3	17.0	-0.70	14.3	17.1	-2.80
Von Wafer	13	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	12	-19	16.9	16.8	0.10	13.1	17.0	-3.85
Semih Erden	15	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	13	-21	19.3	16.3	2.93	14.4	16.7	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
ORL 95, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.9%
NYK 99, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.7,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.97,1,1	93.8%