NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	7.0 [336]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +14.2%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	1.5 [834]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): -8.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	12	65%	0.18	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Iman Shumpert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Harrellson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Landry Fields	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	46%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	21	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Tyson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.06	0.04	7	59%	0.00	2	-0.07	8	37%	-0.08
J.R. Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.06	0.01	12	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	47%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	69%	0.09	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	1	0%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	0.00	29	48%	0.09	4	-0.11	9	67%	-0.03
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.8	32.8	18.6	28.4	3.4	39.4	154.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +12.1%

NYK -8.6%

CHI +40.6%

CHI +6.4%

NYK -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	13.5	16.3	15.6	103.1	107.2	102.8
season	14.9	16.0		102.3	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.7		97.0	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	11.7	14.5	13.6	14.4	13.5
CHI	16.0	15.5	15.7	18.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-10	15	14.2	13.3	0.94	19.8	15.1	4.73
Iman Shumpert	31	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-5	5	13.6	13.4	0.17	18.8	15.1	3.66
Josh Harrellson	17	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	0	-5	13.8	13.4	0.32	16.6	16.3	0.28
J.R. Smith	17	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-3	1	15.6	13.0	2.61	17.7	16.0	1.67
Baron Davis	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-4	3	14.7	12.9	1.74	20.7	14.3	6.48
Carmelo Anthony	79	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-2	-1	13.0	15.6	-2.61	16.0	17.7	-1.67
Landry Fields	62	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	0	-5	13.0	14.5	-1.50	14.0	20.5	-6.46
Tyson Chandler	80	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.38	0	-5	5	13.5	13.4	0.08	16.3	16.6	-0.28
Jeremy Lin	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	13.4	13.7	-0.35	15.3	18.9	-3.55
Amar'e Stoudemire	71	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	5	-15	13.2	14.4	-1.22	15.1	19.8	-4.73

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	77	78	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.29	13	-8	21	15.1	21.0	-5.88	13.5	13.7	-0.21
Kyle Korver	72	71	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.22	14	-9	23	16.6	15.6	1.04	13.5	13.6	-0.14
Derrick Rose	86	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-1	7	16.5	14.7	1.81	13.4	14.1	-0.67
Jimmy Butler	55	55	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.46	-1	6	-7	17.3	15.1	2.14	14.3	12.4	1.89
Taj Gibson	51	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	4	-3	16.8	15.8	1.04	14.4	12.5	1.93
Carlos Boozer	50	48	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	-1	7	14.7	18.1	-3.41	13.2	13.8	-0.62
John Lucas III	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.08	2	3	-1	14.7	16.5	-1.81	14.1	13.4	0.67
Brian Scalabrine	3	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	22.3	16.1	6.20	7.7	13.7	-6.02
Ronnie Brewer	70	69	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.18	-8	13	-21	14.7	20.5	-5.75	12.5	16.1	-3.63
Omer Asik	13	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	12	-19	26.5	14.7	11.79	12.5	13.6	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.7,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	93.8%
WAS 101, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
SAS 85, MIA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%