NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	118		Excitement	7.3 [345]		MVP	Georges Niang (ATL): +37.5%
Atlanta Hawks	124		Comeback	5.3 [157]		LVP	Obi Toppin (IND): -10.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28	0.22	0.09	0.03	18	78%	0.38	3	-0.10	9	89%	0.04
Aaron Nesmith	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	15	68%	0.24	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	8	85%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Jarace Walker	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	9	44%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	8	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	13	52%	0.00	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Thomas Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.20	0.01	15	80%	0.41	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.08	0.06	8	87%	0.21	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.21,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.01	12	71%	0.23	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.00	17	54%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	9	61%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	7	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	28.2	14.6	30.1	1.7	32.2	134.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.7%

IND -9.9%

ATL +8.0%

ATL +10.4%

ATL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.1	14.4	119.2	124.0	113.0
season	13.8	13.3		114.4	112.1
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.9	113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.9	14.5	15.4	13.8	14.9
ATL	15.4	13.2	13.4	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	70	69	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.02	8	-14	22	14.4	16.1	-1.72	14.1	13.9	0.18
Thomas Bryant	27	26	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.17	-4	-2	-2	15.5	14.7	0.81	15.3	13.6	1.69
T.J. McConnell	55	53	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-17	28	14.2	15.8	-1.59	14.5	13.5	1.00
Aaron Nesmith	77	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-7	8	14.3	17.1	-2.83	13.7	15.0	-1.31
Jarace Walker	49	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-3	0	16.1	13.7	2.36	14.2	13.9	0.39
Ben Sheppard	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	7	-20	15.6	14.3	1.26	13.7	14.4	-0.72
Myles Turner	69	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.46	-3	-3	0	14.9	14.8	0.08	14.1	14.1	-0.01
Obi Toppin	39	40	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.33	-12	6	-18	15.7	14.4	1.28	14.1	14.0	0.07
Andrew Nembhard	63	66	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.38	-15	9	-24	14.7	15.3	-0.65	13.6	14.9	-1.34

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaccharie Risacher	49	50	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.20	16	-10	26	14.5	13.6	0.88	16.5	13.2	3.30
Onyeka Okongwu	74	70	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-5	16	13.3	16.3	-3.04	15.2	14.1	1.11
Trae Young	75	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	-1	8	13.7	15.1	-1.41	15.1	14.4	0.71
Mouhamed Gueye	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	0	6	13.6	14.5	-0.92	16.4	13.6	2.85
Georges Niang	52	53	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	7	-8	14.6	13.5	1.16	13.6	16.4	-2.85
Dyson Daniels	75	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.44	-8	14	-22	13.8	14.7	-0.88	14.2	16.8	-2.55
Terance Mann	42	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	-6	18	15.0	13.4	1.58	16.0	14.1	1.85
Caris LeVert	60	58	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.33	-8	14	-22	13.7	14.6	-0.98	13.3	17.1	-3.77
Clint Capela	26	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	11	-16	16.3	13.3	3.04	14.1	15.2	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 94, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.53,0.66,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	91.1%
POR 80, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.74,1	90.6%
MEM 78, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.91,0.95,1	90.5%