NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	6.3 [586]		MVP	Isaiah Livers (DET): +24.1%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	3.8 [163]		LVP	Isaiah Stewart (DET): -9.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	9	78%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.02	19	69%	0.33	7	-0.25	16	87%	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	2	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	59%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shake Milton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Brown Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	15	46%	0.08	3	-0.12	9	89%	0.04
Georges Niang	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	3	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.14	-0.02	4	112%	0.24	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.04	-0.03	20	61%	0.20	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Saddiq Bey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	18	56%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	8	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	5	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Braxton Key	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	29.5	14.5	28.4	2.3	33.6	134.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +45.8%

PHI -27.1%

DET +4.9%

DET +29.3%

PHI -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	14.5	102.2	112.1	110.8
season	15.2	14.6		112.4	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.6		112.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	18.8	16.0	18.0	16.7
DET	14.5	12.0	16.0	17.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	31	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	15.8	17.1	-1.37	12.5	16.0	-3.48
Furkan Korkmaz	11	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-5	2	18.5	16.4	2.01	12.6	15.0	-2.45
Shake Milton	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-1	-6	17.3	16.3	0.99	13.1	15.9	-2.82
DeAndre Jordan	20	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	1	-10	19.0	16.0	3.02	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Danny Green	23	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-2	-4	16.7	16.7	-0.04	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Joel Embiid	70	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-7	6	16.0	18.7	-2.68	15.4	12.7	2.75
Matisse Thybulle	38	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-7	6	17.1	16.4	0.67	15.3	14.4	0.96
James Harden	74	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-7	6	16.5	17.6	-1.15	15.3	12.8	2.45
Tyrese Maxey	65	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	0	-8	16.4	17.5	-1.13	15.2	13.6	1.63
Tobias Harris	67	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	-2	-4	17.1	15.7	1.38	15.4	13.1	2.29

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	39	39	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.34	14	-6	20	14.4	15.1	-0.74	17.4	16.2	1.26
Killian Hayes	50	49	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-8	24	13.8	15.9	-2.09	17.3	16.0	1.24
Isaiah Livers	39	42	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-3	14	14.9	14.7	0.21	17.2	16.2	1.02
Saddiq Bey	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	3	2	15.3	13.6	1.71	16.5	16.9	-0.39
Cade Cunningham	67	68	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	9	-10	15.4	12.9	2.53	15.7	19.5	-3.81
Frank Jackson	25	25	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	2	4	13.5	15.3	-1.74	17.9	16.2	1.70
Braxton Key	32	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	8	-8	13.4	15.5	-2.07	16.1	17.0	-0.95
Marvin Bagley III	46	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	11	-14	15.0	14.6	0.44	16.8	16.5	0.33
Cory Joseph	44	44	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	10	-12	15.4	14.2	1.22	16.8	16.6	0.26
Isaiah Stewart	52	53	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.08	-6	14	-20	15.1	14.4	0.74	16.2	17.4	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.53,0.66,0.81,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.4,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.85,1	93.2%
GSW 78, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.98,1,1	93.2%
WAS 103, NYK 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.0%