NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	6.9 [418]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): +21.7%
New York Knicks	114		Comeback	7.7 [206]		LVP	James Singleton (WAS): -10.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	0.00	8	82%	0.21	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Mike Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	-0.04	0.05	14	82%	0.15	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	14	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.01	0.03	16	49%	0.04	4	-0.10	7	29%	-0.07
James Singleton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	7	43%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.09	-0.03	18	62%	0.25	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.11	0.04	6	86%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.03	0.03	18	67%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	6	82%	0.11	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.02	9	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
J.R. Giddens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	30.6	16.6	27.8	1.8	30.1	133.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.3%

NYK +11.2%

WAS -11.8%

NYK +14.0%

NYK +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.3	112.0	120.0	106.0
season	15.7	14.7		102.6	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.8	17.2	15.0	17.5	16.3
NYK	15.5	13.0	14.4	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fabricio Oberto	19	20	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.02	7	-18	25	16.2	16.4	-0.24	14.7	14.4	0.34
Cartier Martin	9	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-9	7	21.1	15.8	5.28	10.6	14.8	-4.21
Nick Young	64	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-10	9	15.8	17.6	-1.76	15.0	13.1	1.90
JaVale McGee	54	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-2	-7	15.0	18.3	-3.35	14.4	14.6	-0.26
Andray Blatche	68	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-11	11	16.5	16.0	0.53	14.9	13.4	1.42
Al Thornton	34	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-6	1	17.1	15.9	1.27	13.2	15.2	-2.03
Earl Boykins	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	19.0	15.5	3.48	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Shaun Livingston	69	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	15.5	19.0	-3.48	14.6	14.3	0.29
Mike Miller	77	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	3	-17	15.9	18.7	-2.85	15.0	11.9	3.03
James Singleton	43	46	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.20	-20	9	-29	18.0	14.9	3.01	13.9	15.0	-1.07

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergio Rodriguez	35	35	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.26	21	-10	31	14.1	14.7	-0.59	17.7	15.5	2.16
Earl Barron	57	57	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.32	16	-5	21	14.9	13.8	1.11	17.4	14.6	2.87
Toney Douglas	77	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-2	15	14.2	15.6	-1.32	16.1	17.2	-1.09
Henry Walker	80	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	2	7	14.4	14.7	-0.22	16.5	15.7	0.81
Danilo Gallinari	82	79	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	2	7	14.8	12.3	2.52	16.1	17.9	-1.83
J.R. Giddens	20	19	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	8	-5	12.1	15.1	-3.02	16.8	16.2	0.56
Chris Duhon	56	54	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.10	-7	18	-25	14.7	14.2	0.56	15.5	17.6	-2.05
David Lee	68	65	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.11	-9	20	-29	14.7	13.9	0.83	15.6	18.0	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, SAS 88	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.36,0.65,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	92.1%
GSW 78, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.98,1,1	91.6%
LAL 120, SAS 133	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.66,0.92,0.92,1,1,1	91.6%