NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	122		Excitement	8.1 [291]		MVP	Amir Coffey (LAC): +22.5%
Chicago Bulls	117		Comeback	1.4 [934]		LVP	Julian Phillips (CHI): -11.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Coffey	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.06	-0.01	11	77%	0.22	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Harden	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.2	0.08	0.12	0.01	20	67%	0.34	6	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.00	7	100%	0.28	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	9	80%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Kris Dunn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	14	57%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	0.00	9	89%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.01	10	71%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	14	64%	0.16	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	14	70%	0.24	5	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08	-0.08	0.06	-0.08	0.05	16	58%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	22.5	14.7	25.5	2.4	30.4	123.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.7%

LAC +7.2%

CHI -0.6%

LAC +15.8%

CHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	14.4	123.2	120.6	113.0
season	14.9	13.2		113.8	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.4		114.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.3	15.8	13.4	18.5	15.4
CHI	15.1	11.8	14.8	14.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	47	47	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-8	21	16.4	14.5	1.88	15.3	12.8	2.48
Amir Coffey	52	51	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	15.9	14.8	1.16	15.3	12.5	2.77
Ben Simmons	39	37	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-10	25	13.6	16.5	-2.93	15.7	12.9	2.79
Nicolas Batum	37	34	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	-5	15	14.3	16.1	-1.79	15.4	13.2	2.21
Drew Eubanks	10	9	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.14	13	-8	21	12.9	15.7	-2.77	15.9	13.8	2.10
James Harden	73	73	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.32	-4	9	-13	15.5	15.2	0.33	13.6	15.2	-1.63
Kris Dunn	58	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	9	-13	14.9	16.0	-1.12	12.8	15.6	-2.76
Ivica Zubac	60	60	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.21	-10	15	-25	16.5	13.6	2.93	12.9	15.7	-2.79
Derrick Jones Jr.	51	50	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	11	-17	14.2	16.7	-2.55	12.9	15.1	-2.23
Kawhi Leonard	68	67	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.22	-11	16	-27	16.5	13.0	3.53	13.3	15.5	-2.15

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalen Terry	36	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-7	9	13.5	14.3	-0.81	14.9	15.7	-0.74
Lonzo Ball	59	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.20	6	-11	17	12.6	16.1	-3.50	15.8	14.7	1.12
Tre Jones	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-11	17	13.9	14.0	-0.10	18.4	13.9	4.50
Josh Giddey	74	75	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-13	21	13.3	16.3	-2.99	16.4	12.3	4.10
Zach Collins	76	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.35	6	-11	17	13.2	16.7	-3.49	16.3	12.1	4.25
Julian Phillips	32	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	6	-17	16.8	12.6	4.23	13.9	16.1	-2.24
Matas Buzelis	54	57	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	13	-31	14.8	13.0	1.80	13.3	18.2	-4.90
Kevin Huerter	55	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	4	-13	14.9	12.7	2.19	16.0	14.6	1.35
Coby White	65	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.27	-15	10	-25	14.4	13.2	1.18	13.7	19.6	-5.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.36,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.37,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.38,0.31,0.11,0.11,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, LAL 95	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.03,0,0	92.7%
TOR 111, MIN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.6%
PHI 96, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.33,0.26,0.04,0.05,0.02,0	92.4%