NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	6.9 [406]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): +6.7%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	1.2 [262]		LVP	Chris Duhon (CHI): -18.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Rodney Carney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	18	58%	0.14	5	-0.14	7	71%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	15	39%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Reggie Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	7	45%	-0.00	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	17	54%	0.08	6	-0.14	7	86%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	8	24%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	15	48%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	16	58%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	18	62%	0.15	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	12	38%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	12	31%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	27.5	18.4	29.0	2.0	34.0	140.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +15.9%

PHI +8.7%

PHI +26.1%

CHI -5.0%

PHI +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.4	99.0	89.5	105.7
season	15.2	15.0		104.0	102.2
opponent	15.5	16.2		105.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	17.7	13.0	15.7	15.1
CHI	17.4	13.6	14.7	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	61	60	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-4	19	14.4	16.1	-1.73	15.6	13.9	1.73
Andre Iguodala	91	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	0	11	14.9	16.8	-1.90	14.7	18.1	-3.45
Willie Green	80	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	1	9	14.8	16.3	-1.51	14.2	18.9	-4.72
Andre Miller	84	83	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	7	-3	15.1	14.5	0.59	14.6	17.1	-2.44
Lou Williams	17	16	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	5	1	16.6	14.7	1.86	17.5	14.4	3.07
Rodney Carney	15	18	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	8	-5	12.7	15.5	-2.74	15.6	14.8	0.82
Kyle Korver	44	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	10	-9	15.0	15.1	-0.18	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Reggie Evans	56	54	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	9	-7	15.8	14.1	1.69	15.5	14.3	1.19
Jason Smith	28	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	10	-9	15.4	14.9	0.43	15.9	14.6	1.26
Calvin Booth	9	8	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	9	-7	18.2	14.7	3.49	14.1	15.0	-0.90

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	4	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-8	5	21.5	14.7	6.84	13.8	15.1	-1.32
Chris Duhon	40	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-10	9	15.0	14.9	0.05	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Tyrus Thomas	84	85	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-8	5	15.0	14.5	0.56	15.4	12.4	3.01
Andres Nocioni	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-8	5	14.3	15.8	-1.48	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Joe Smith	20	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	15.3	14.8	0.51	15.6	14.9	0.76
Ben Wallace	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	16.6	13.3	3.35	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Kirk Hinrich	64	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	15.1	14.5	0.59	16.0	12.9	3.07
Luol Deng	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	13.8	18.8	-5.04	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Ben Gordon	86	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	2	-15	14.8	16.4	-1.65	14.5	19.5	-4.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.33,0.26,0.04,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, LAL 95	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.03,0,0	93.9%
LAL 106, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.02,0.02,0.01,0	92.7%
GSW 86, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.02,0	92.6%