NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	86		Excitement	5.9 [646]		MVP	Will Bynum (GSW): +11.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	1.0 [676]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -19.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Bynum	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	7	70%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	11	56%	0.09	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Ike Diogu	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	68%	0.07	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	16	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	16	29%	-0.14	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.04	13	65%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.04	-0.01	11	63%	0.09	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	5	73%	0.06	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.06	0.05	11	50%	-0.02	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.5	27.3	15.8	25.5	1.8	42.2	137.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -18.1%

GSW +19.0%

GSW +31.1%

GSW +16.2%

GSW +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.6	95.6	90.0	104.4
season	14.8	16.6		102.9	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.8	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.2	19.2	15.5	16.4	16.0
POR	17.5	16.0	17.2	13.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	72	72	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.25	13	-8	21	15.3	18.7	-3.39	15.8	17.1	-1.26
Ike Diogu	59	60	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-13	31	14.9	18.0	-3.12	17.1	14.0	3.07
Monta Ellis	85	85	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	16.0	14.8	1.22	16.1	15.0	1.11
Mike Dunleavy	79	80	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	2	1	14.8	24.5	-9.79	15.9	17.0	-1.07
Andris Biedrins	38	39	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	4	-3	18.0	14.4	3.58	16.3	15.9	0.42
Will Bynum	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	8	-11	16.9	15.1	1.78	14.4	17.4	-3.08
Adonal Foyle	37	35	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	1	3	15.8	16.1	-0.34	18.0	14.8	3.25
Calbert Cheaney	32	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	11	-17	17.7	15.0	2.78	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Zarko Cabarkapa	7	7	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.11	-10	15	-25	20.6	15.6	5.01	12.3	16.4	-4.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	3	2	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-7	9	9.7	16.3	-6.60	13.5	16.0	-2.51
Darius Miles	43	43	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-11	17	16.5	15.7	0.81	18.7	13.4	5.34
Brian Skinner	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-2	-1	17.7	15.5	2.21	17.5	15.4	2.05
Steve Blake	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-8	11	14.6	16.7	-2.14	16.6	15.7	0.89
Travis Outlaw	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	1	-7	17.7	15.4	2.26	15.8	16.0	-0.27
Juan Dixon	62	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-5	5	15.6	17.0	-1.34	15.8	16.4	-0.58
Martell Webster	76	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-6	7	15.8	17.4	-1.55	16.0	15.8	0.17
Sebastian Telfair	47	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	2	-9	16.9	15.1	1.73	15.3	16.7	-1.42
Theo Ratliff	55	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-4	3	16.1	15.9	0.26	14.2	18.9	-4.75
Jarrett Jack	38	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	0	-5	14.6	17.1	-2.49	15.2	16.6	-1.41
Viktor Khryapa	49	50	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.18	-15	10	-25	16.4	15.6	0.75	16.1	15.7	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0	94.5%
UTA 99, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0	94.2%
GSW 113, TOR 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.14,0.02,0.1,0.05,0	94.0%