NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	5.5 [675]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +8.5%
Phoenix Suns	86		Comeback	1.2 [449]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -28.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	67%	0.14	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Greg Ostertag	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	5	90%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	83%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Karl Malone	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	24	56%	0.09	6	-0.18	13	92%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	17	59%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.05	11	73%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	63%	0.01	1	-0.04	9	56%	-0.05
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0	100%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	12	30%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.20	-0.10	-0.02	22	24%	-0.25	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	31.0	24.6	28.2	2.0	31.2	143.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.4%

UTA +24.8%

UTA +3.5%

PHX -9.9%

UTA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.7	14.4	15.5	107.6	92.5	101.6
season	16.3	15.0		103.1	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		100.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	16.9	16.0	17.7	16.7
PHX	14.4	14.4	15.3	13.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	75	75	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.12	18	-5	23	17.1	14.9	2.19	15.1	11.4	3.69
Calbert Cheaney	63	63	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-4	21	17.2	15.8	1.37	15.5	12.2	3.23
Karl Malone	82	81	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-3	19	16.5	18.4	-1.88	14.2	16.1	-1.91
Matt Harpring	68	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	0	13	15.7	19.6	-3.92	13.9	15.9	-1.96
John Stockton	61	60	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	2	9	15.9	18.4	-2.45	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Mark Jackson	31	33	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	11	-9	18.4	15.9	2.45	15.6	13.8	1.79
Andrei Kirilenko	49	50	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	14	-15	17.4	16.0	1.41	13.3	15.8	-2.51
DeShawn Stevenson	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	14	-15	16.3	16.8	-0.42	16.2	14.3	1.87
Scott Padgett	10	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	16	-19	18.4	16.5	1.88	16.1	14.2	1.91
Tony Massenburg	15	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	20	-27	15.5	17.0	-1.43	12.1	14.9	-2.77

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	44	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-18	23	13.3	15.4	-2.05	17.5	16.1	1.39
Dan Langhi	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-13	13	13.7	14.6	-0.81	19.6	16.1	3.43
Jake Tsakalidis	21	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-12	11	14.0	14.5	-0.54	17.9	16.3	1.58
Scott Williams	4	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-7	1	13.2	14.5	-1.22	8.2	17.1	-8.86
Anfernee Hardaway	61	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-8	3	13.8	15.6	-1.79	15.7	18.6	-2.86
Jake Voskuhl	31	29	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	15.8	13.7	2.13	17.3	16.5	0.85
Joe Johnson	44	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	15.0	13.9	1.19	17.9	15.8	2.08
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	14.8	12.6	2.17	16.4	18.1	-1.62
Stephon Marbury	83	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.09	-16	3	-19	14.3	15.1	-0.76	16.7	16.7	-0.02
Shawn Marion	84	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.06	-18	5	-23	14.6	12.7	1.94	16.1	22.1	-6.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 115, NOP 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.09,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.17,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.0%
CHI 111, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAC 111, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0,0	94.8%