NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	5.7 [405]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +27.9%
Vancouver Grizzlies	101		Comeback	1.3 [533]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): -16.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.20	0.08	0.00	21	80%	0.33	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	68%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Michael Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	11	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.02
Vernon Maxwell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	11	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.03	11	48%	-0.10	3	-0.07	9	33%	-0.09

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	26	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	11	83%	0.11	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	5	72%	0.02	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	15	41%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	26.2	15.7	26.0	2.5	30.7	127.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +28.6%

SAC +2.1%

SAC +19.3%

VAN -2.0%

SAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	VAN	NBA	SAC	VAN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.8	115.6	105.2	99.6
season	14.1	16.4		100.1	95.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.7	14.9	13.8	16.8	14.5
VAN	14.5	14.5	18.1	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	81	82	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.13	14	-4	18	13.8	18.1	-4.31	16.1	12.2	3.85
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	67	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	0	10	13.9	16.0	-2.15	16.2	13.9	2.30
Jason Williams	77	77	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	2	6	13.6	18.2	-4.63	15.1	17.1	-2.00
Vlade Divac	77	76	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	2	6	14.3	15.4	-1.15	15.3	16.2	-0.95
Vernon Maxwell	42	42	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	4	2	16.3	13.1	3.13	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Corliss Williamson	73	72	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	5	0	13.3	18.3	-4.95	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Michael Hawkins	7	6	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	6	-2	18.7	14.2	4.55	22.2	15.1	7.11
Lawrence Funderburke	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	11	-12	17.2	13.1	4.08	14.6	16.0	-1.41
Jon Barry	12	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	12	-14	17.9	14.0	3.90	14.8	15.6	-0.85
Peja Stojakovic	12	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	12	-14	17.9	14.0	3.90	14.8	15.6	-0.85

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	38	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-7	4	15.9	15.2	0.74	13.5	15.1	-1.56
Felipe Lopez	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-6	2	15.4	15.5	-0.18	16.9	14.0	2.90
Lee Mayberry	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-9	8	14.2	16.1	-1.93	16.8	13.5	3.35
Sam Mack	44	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	16.2	14.9	1.30	13.0	15.7	-2.63
Pete Chilcutt	35	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-7	4	14.1	16.3	-2.23	15.9	13.7	2.22
Tony Massenburg	50	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-5	0	15.5	15.5	-0.04	14.2	14.8	-0.61
Doug West	52	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-6	2	14.9	16.2	-1.30	15.7	13.0	2.63
Mike Bibby	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	16.1	14.2	1.93	13.5	16.8	-3.35
Bryant Reeves	69	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-1	-8	16.0	14.3	1.73	14.5	14.5	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	15.5	15.4	0.18	14.0	16.9	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	94.9%
UTA 99, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0	94.8%
BOS 115, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	94.8%