NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	115		Excitement	5.5 [708]		MVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): +19.8%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	1.2 [998]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -9.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.20	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.10	-0.01	11	78%	0.28	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.04	0.07	7	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	12	63%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.02	11	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	11	82%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	15	55%	0.11	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.04	-0.02	11	68%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.03	0.04	9	78%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.03	13	68%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	14	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	6	17%	-0.09	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	22	39%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	30.1	16.4	27.4	2.5	28.4	133.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +40.3%

BOS +15.6%

BOS +0.1%

TOR -11.7%

BOS +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	16.6	14.8	15.3	126.4	113.0	106.0
season	15.5	15.0		105.7	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		111.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.3	16.9	17.5	17.0	16.6
TOR	14.1	15.9	16.0	13.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	-5	21	16.2	18.0	-1.71	14.1	17.2	-3.13
Rajon Rondo	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-2	15	16.5	17.3	-0.81	14.8	15.2	-0.47
Kevin Garnett	53	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-3	17	15.7	17.9	-2.20	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Paul Pierce	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	-1	13	16.5	16.9	-0.40	15.1	14.4	0.66
Rasheed Wallace	43	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	6	-1	17.4	15.9	1.48	15.0	14.7	0.25
Michael Finley	43	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	10	-9	17.7	15.6	2.10	15.2	14.5	0.64
Kendrick Perkins	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	3	5	15.6	17.7	-2.07	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Glen Davis	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	14	-17	17.9	15.7	2.20	15.1	14.7	0.39
Tony Allen	29	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.22	-6	17	-23	17.2	16.4	0.79	15.5	14.5	1.06
Shelden Williams	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	30.0	16.5	13.51	11.0	14.9	-3.89
Marquis Daniels	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	14	-17	1.0	16.8	-15.81	23.0	14.8	8.24

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-5	-1	15.1	14.8	0.26	13.3	17.3	-4.04
Antoine Wright	52	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-13	15	14.6	15.2	-0.62	17.3	15.8	1.40
Reggie Evans	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-5	-1	15.6	14.4	1.18	15.0	17.6	-2.62
Jose Calderon	48	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-9	7	14.6	15.1	-0.47	16.4	16.9	-0.53
Rasho Nesterovic	35	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-11	11	15.1	14.7	0.48	18.5	15.5	2.93
Marco Belinelli	7	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-8	5	16.9	14.7	2.17	12.0	17.1	-5.08
Amir Johnson	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-9	7	13.7	15.7	-2.01	17.9	15.7	2.21
DeMar DeRozan	41	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-9	7	15.5	14.3	1.15	18.1	15.5	2.57
Sonny Weems	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	14.5	15.8	-1.25	16.4	17.4	-1.02
Jarrett Jack	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	15.1	14.6	0.47	16.9	16.4	0.53
Andrea Bargnani	76	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.05	-17	6	-23	14.9	14.7	0.12	16.1	19.2	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 111, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0,0	94.8%
HOU 100, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	94.6%
HOU 108, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	94.5%