NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	97		Excitement	7.2 [428]		MVP	Tobias Harris (DET): +14.6%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	1.8 [673]		LVP	James Harden (LAC): -36.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	5	90%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.04	-0.04	8	53%	0.10	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	11	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.04
Kris Dunn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.03	10	65%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Drew Eubanks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.25,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	19	34%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.37	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.24,-0.21,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.22	-0.14	0.01	22	35%	-0.15	7	-0.22	8	62%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	13	74%	0.22	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	64%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cade Cunningham	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	22	57%	0.19	7	-0.19	12	83%	0.03
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	34.3	15.7	38.2	2.8	28.2	145.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.6%

DET +8.9%

DET +2.1%

DET +6.1%

DET +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	13.8	14.4	97.0	106.0	113.0
season	14.9	14.1		113.8	113.7
opponent	14.5	14.4		111.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	14.1	16.1	14.3	15.0
DET	15.1	14.7	12.2	13.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	73	73	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.21	12	-21	33	15.3	14.1	1.20	13.8	13.7	0.15
Ivica Zubac	79	78	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-17	25	14.9	15.2	-0.25	13.8	13.9	-0.07
Nicolas Batum	47	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-10	11	15.8	14.3	1.50	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Kobe Brown	1	0	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-6	3	6.0	15.1	-9.08	0.0	13.8	-13.81
Bogdan Bogdanovic	68	68	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-15	21	15.4	14.0	1.41	13.7	13.9	-0.19
Derrick Jones Jr.	49	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	0	-9	13.8	16.1	-2.26	13.9	13.8	0.09
Patty Mills	19	20	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	2	-13	14.8	15.0	-0.25	15.1	13.5	1.67
Drew Eubanks	20	22	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	5	-19	15.6	14.8	0.82	13.9	13.8	0.07
Amir Coffey	63	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	1	-11	14.2	16.4	-2.16	13.8	13.8	-0.00
James Harden	80	81	-0.82	0.33	-1.15	-0.18	-22	13	-35	15.3	13.6	1.74	13.5	15.0	-1.47

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	78	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-9	27	13.4	15.3	-1.93	15.1	14.4	0.74
Ausar Thompson	54	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-3	15	13.1	14.7	-1.56	16.2	13.6	2.56
Dennis Schroder	41	41	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-5	19	14.5	13.4	1.11	13.9	15.8	-1.93
Jalen Duren	66	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	7	-5	13.4	14.6	-1.27	15.6	13.9	1.72
Malik Beasley	51	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	8	-7	15.1	12.4	2.67	14.9	15.1	-0.26
Isaiah Stewart	34	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	5	-1	14.6	13.4	1.27	14.1	15.5	-1.35
Cade Cunningham	78	77	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	11	-13	13.2	16.1	-2.92	15.2	14.2	1.06
Tim Hardaway Jr.	69	72	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	8	-7	14.2	13.0	1.22	14.9	15.1	-0.16
Ronald Holland II	29	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	14	-19	13.9	13.8	0.12	13.4	15.6	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
BOS 89, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.4%
MIA 83, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%