NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	6.4 [550]		MVP	Earl Boykins (MIL): +34.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	2.0 [774]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (BOS): -26.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevinn Pinkney	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Delonte West	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Allan Ray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.10	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	13	59%	0.09	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	14	43%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.08	-0.02	9	11%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	9	5%	-0.18	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.26	0.08	0.01	19	80%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.03	-0.03	19	62%	0.21	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	16	49%	0.12	2	-0.06	11	64%	-0.03
Damir Markota	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Reiner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Lynn Greer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	6	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	26.8	15.0	24.2	2.5	31.9	128.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +64.8%

BOS -12.8%

BOS -10.2%

MIL +8.1%

MIL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.4	96.7	107.7	104.5
season	15.5	15.2		101.7	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.9	16.3	14.3	16.8	16.1
MIL	13.1	15.0	17.8	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	35	36	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-10	11	15.1	16.6	-1.49	15.6	15.3	0.29
Leon Powe	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-13	17	16.0	16.1	-0.10	17.0	14.4	2.59
Allan Ray	48	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-10	11	16.6	15.5	1.13	17.0	13.9	3.11
Kevinn Pinkney	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-9	9	16.2	16.0	0.20	17.1	14.1	2.97
Kendrick Perkins	58	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.02	-10	1	-11	15.8	16.4	-0.60	14.5	16.8	-2.31
Ryan Gomes	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	3	-15	16.3	15.8	0.47	14.1	17.3	-3.23
Rajon Rondo	76	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-7	5	16.1	15.9	0.15	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Gerald Green	56	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	5	-19	15.6	16.9	-1.31	14.5	17.0	-2.54
Sebastian Telfair	61	60	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.28	-13	4	-17	16.6	15.0	1.61	15.5	15.3	0.18

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	87	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-3	15	15.2	19.0	-3.76	15.8	20.6	-4.80
Ruben Patterson	79	80	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.12	16	-7	23	15.3	16.0	-0.68	16.0	16.7	-0.79
Lynn Greer	52	54	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-2	13	16.2	14.4	1.74	16.8	15.1	1.68
Charlie Bell	79	80	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-1	11	15.3	15.8	-0.49	15.9	16.8	-0.88
Dan Gadzuric	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	1	7	15.0	16.3	-1.28	16.0	16.3	-0.35
Jared Reiner	29	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	8	-7	16.3	15.0	1.28	16.3	16.0	0.35
Damir Markota	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	10	-11	15.8	15.3	0.49	16.8	15.9	0.88
David Noel	41	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	14	-19	14.3	16.3	-1.94	15.3	16.7	-1.35
Ersan Ilyasova	14	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	16	-23	17.3	15.1	2.22	17.7	15.8	1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 84, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	94.5%
SAS 74, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MIA 82, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.7%