inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 74 Excitement6.2 [608] MVPDavid Lee (SAS): +14.8%
Memphis Grizzlies 89 Comeback1.7 [464] LVPLaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): -28.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Lee0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.120.030.00682%0.1500.00540%-0.05
Manu Ginobili0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.03-0.00967%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Danny Green0.000,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.021250%0.083-0.0700%0.00
Joel Anthony0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0810%-0.003-0.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01845%0.001-0.02425%-0.06
Dewayne Dedmon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.030,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00750%-0.002-0.022100%0.00
Davis Bertans-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.04-0.0250%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Jonathon Simmons-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.030.02825%-0.101-0.0300%0.00
Patty Mills-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.060.0040%-0.102-0.0600%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.280,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.18-0.100.001929%-0.193-0.09771%-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.04-0.01664%0.0900.00250%-0.02
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.02490%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.05-0.001352%0.111-0.033100%0.02
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.05-0.03437%0.0700.0000%0.00
James Ennis III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.01567%0.071-0.012100%0.02
Troy Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Harrison00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01567%0.063-0.062100%0.02
Marc Gasol0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.041247%0.033-0.05887%0.02
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.000.00937%0.012-0.0610%-0.02
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.050.041048%-0.032-0.075100%0.01
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.05-0.011015%-0.121-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.43.432.517.630.23.332.7140.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +32.2%
MEM +20.9%
SAS -6.8%
MEM +6.0%
SAS -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMEMNBASASMEMNBA
this game15.415.514.879.695.7107.7
season15.416.1110.1106.4
opponent14.914.8106.7103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.315.116.514.015.4
MEM15.716.913.516.115.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili34330.16-0.660.83-0.047-222915.415.5-0.0815.315.6-0.32
David Lee35350.07-0.570.650.012-171914.516.0-1.4714.416.2-1.87
Patty Mills31280.03-0.530.56-0.094-192313.816.2-2.3917.214.82.35
Joel Anthony56-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-151512.015.6-3.6318.315.32.99
Dejounte Murray77-0.00-0.500.490.06-2-131112.315.7-3.4016.915.41.43
Davis Bertans2927-0.17-0.330.15-0.170-151514.216.0-1.7317.914.63.37
Kyle Anderson4441-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-11714.416.4-2.0216.315.01.31
Jonathon Simmons4549-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-1-1315.915.00.9315.215.9-0.66
Dewayne Dedmon5454-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.09-8-7-115.814.90.9615.016.2-1.19
Tony Parker5558-0.530.03-0.55-0.03-172-1916.713.63.1714.617.1-2.53
LaMarcus Aldridge6364-0.580.08-0.660.13-249-3316.413.43.0515.316.0-0.67
Danny Green6363-0.680.18-0.87-0.13-194-2315.914.51.3215.415.8-0.39

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley69700.67-0.170.84-0.0023-83115.416.0-0.6216.113.52.54
Brandan Wright25270.440.060.380.12114715.715.50.2515.315.5-0.24
Marc Gasol67640.330.170.17-0.081411315.415.8-0.3716.014.11.93
Chandler Parsons44420.280.220.06-0.04114715.115.9-0.8017.014.22.78
Tony Allen43410.270.230.03-0.09123915.215.9-0.7016.015.01.06
James Ennis III39410.190.31-0.120.07411-716.714.72.0313.716.8-3.04
Vince Carter47490.150.35-0.190.21-217-1915.915.20.6314.516.5-2.03
JaMychal Green51500.150.35-0.20-0.0578-115.116.1-1.0615.515.40.11
Zach Randolph43450.080.42-0.350.13-217-1916.215.01.1614.616.2-1.57
Troy Daniels330.000.50-0.500.00015-1510.015.7-5.7215.315.4-0.10
Andrew Harrison330.000.50-0.500.00015-1510.015.7-5.7215.315.4-0.10
Toney Douglas3130-0.060.56-0.620.03-318-2116.115.20.8914.915.7-0.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 95, GSW 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.2%
NYK 109, ATL 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,194.1%
WAS 101, MIN 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.1%