NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	95		Excitement	6.4 [535]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +17.4%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	1.5 [849]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -15.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	7	87%	0.16	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.01
Rodney Buford	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	12	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Antonis Fotsis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Grant Long	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	10	45%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	13	42%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.08	0.04	19	56%	-0.07	4	-0.08	10	70%	-0.05

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.09	0.02	20	65%	0.22	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	14	46%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Oliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	18	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	0.07	11	60%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	29.2	15.8	25.4	2.4	31.4	128.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +4.0%

GSW +15.4%

GSW +24.5%

GSW +1.6%

GSW +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	16.7	15.6	104.4	118.9	102.3
season	15.7	14.7		96.0	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	14.1	15.0	16.8	15.2
GSW	16.3	15.9	17.1	17.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	38	38	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-19	26	15.4	15.0	0.42	16.2	17.0	-0.86
Grant Long	67	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-8	4	15.3	14.8	0.52	16.8	16.2	0.65
Jason Williams	65	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-1	-10	15.6	14.2	1.32	15.7	18.9	-3.19
Antonis Fotsis	35	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	13.2	16.4	-3.26	16.3	16.9	-0.58
Rodney Buford	78	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-9	6	15.4	13.9	1.46	17.2	12.9	4.31
Brevin Knight	36	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-6	0	14.5	15.6	-1.16	17.8	15.9	1.87
Stromile Swift	65	63	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.05	-17	5	-22	14.9	15.9	-0.99	16.7	16.6	0.14
Pau Gasol	71	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.07	-18	6	-24	15.9	12.4	3.49	16.5	17.2	-0.64

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	59	59	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.08	24	-12	36	15.6	18.6	-2.94	15.7	14.3	1.38
Larry Hughes	69	69	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.04	21	-9	30	15.8	19.5	-3.68	16.1	12.2	3.95
Troy Murphy	34	34	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	1	10	16.5	16.8	-0.30	15.7	14.9	0.80
Antawn Jamison	78	79	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	0	12	16.8	15.7	1.14	15.2	14.7	0.49
Jason Richardson	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	5	2	16.5	17.0	-0.51	15.8	13.2	2.52
Bob Sura	33	34	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	13	-14	18.0	15.9	2.17	13.6	16.1	-2.49
Gilbert Arenas	13	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	15	-18	16.2	16.7	-0.59	12.9	15.6	-2.74
Dean Oliver	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	14.7	16.7	-2.06	12.0	15.3	-3.28
Adonal Foyle	20	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	16	-20	17.4	16.4	1.02	15.8	15.0	0.86
Chris Mills	8	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	14	-16	24.1	15.9	8.20	10.8	15.7	-4.88
Danny Fortson	63	64	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	15	-18	16.9	16.2	0.67	14.6	16.5	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 85, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DET 91, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.86,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,1	94.4%
SAS 74, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%