NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	5.8 [504]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): +31.1%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	1.5 [718]		LVP	Earl Watson (UTA): -11.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.09	0.00	5	110%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	20	52%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	16	58%	0.05	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Josh Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Devin Harris	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	64%	0.05	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	7	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.32	0.08	0.09	13	97%	0.35	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.09	-0.02	5	62%	0.15	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	20	62%	0.13	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	42%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.3	26.1	15.8	25.1	1.7	32.0	123.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +54.4%

HOU +1.2%

UTA -6.0%

HOU +0.1%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	17.4	15.5	15.6	97.7	114.8	102.8
season	15.8	15.4		104.0	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.2	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.5	17.5	19.1	15.8	17.4
HOU	16.0	14.6	15.1	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	13.0	17.5	-4.50	22.0	15.4	6.60
Alec Burks	19	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-18	20	16.0	17.9	-1.85	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Josh Howard	9	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-13	10	18.0	17.4	0.62	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Paul Millsap	66	66	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-11	6	17.6	16.9	0.72	15.5	15.5	0.03
Devin Harris	51	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	-6	-4	17.7	17.1	0.62	14.7	16.4	-1.71
CJ Miles	38	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-17	18	18.1	16.9	1.21	15.9	15.1	0.81
Enes Kanter	23	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-14	12	16.0	18.0	-1.97	15.6	15.4	0.20
Gordon Hayward	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-2	-12	16.7	18.1	-1.43	15.5	15.4	0.07
Al Jefferson	60	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	-4	-8	18.4	15.3	3.07	15.2	16.1	-0.99
Earl Watson	41	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-4	-8	16.6	18.2	-1.59	16.5	14.5	2.05
Derrick Favors	24	26	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-4	-8	16.2	17.9	-1.77	15.8	15.3	0.47
Raja Bell	63	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-4	-8	18.2	15.4	2.81	15.7	15.1	0.58

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	71	72	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.05	19	-3	22	15.5	15.5	-0.06	17.9	15.2	2.72
Kyle Lowry	67	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	-6	28	15.6	15.2	0.38	18.0	15.4	2.53
Samuel Dalembert	37	34	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	1	14	15.2	15.6	-0.40	15.8	18.5	-2.76
Courtney Lee	39	36	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	3	10	15.6	15.4	0.16	15.3	18.9	-3.61
Greg Smith	18	19	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	8	0	16.6	15.2	1.36	19.7	16.8	2.86
Patrick Patterson	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	14	-12	15.2	15.9	-0.71	17.3	17.6	-0.28
Luis Scola	72	72	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	9	-2	15.5	15.2	0.35	17.7	16.1	1.67
Chase Budinger	17	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	16	-16	15.5	15.5	-0.01	16.6	17.6	-1.09
Chandler Parsons	49	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	16	-16	15.4	15.5	-0.11	18.6	15.9	2.66
Goran Dragic	21	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	22	-28	15.2	15.6	-0.38	15.4	18.0	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.3%
CHA 86, NOK 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%
NYK 83, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	93.8%