NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	5.7 [682]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +13.2%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	1.7 [446]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -21.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	74%	0.11	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Mirsad Turkcan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	18	47%	0.05	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	16	25%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.08	0.05	8	61%	-0.01	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	12	30%	-0.16	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.06

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	17	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.03	-0.03	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	21	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	31%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.02	17	40%	-0.03	6	-0.16	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.4	14.8	25.0	2.5	30.6	128.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +37.0%

NJN +4.8%

NYK -9.2%

NJN +21.5%

NYK -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	16.8	15.1	15.2	93.3	96.7	101.7
season	16.1	15.5		100.0	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.8		103.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.9	17.8	18.7	14.9	16.8
NJN	13.0	18.2	13.4	16.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	29	28	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-11	16	18.9	15.7	3.18	16.6	14.4	2.22
Mirsad Turkcan	4	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-4	2	17.7	16.7	1.04	12.0	15.2	-3.20
Larry Johnson	77	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-10	14	16.9	15.8	1.06	15.7	10.7	5.00
John Wallace	55	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	17.3	15.8	1.55	15.7	14.0	1.69
Chris Childs	42	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	16.0	17.5	-1.52	15.2	15.0	0.28
Allan Houston	85	86	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	16.9	13.2	3.67	14.6	22.0	-7.38
Latrell Sprewell	86	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	2	-10	16.6	21.3	-4.74	15.0	17.0	-1.97
Patrick Ewing	67	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	9	-24	15.6	20.2	-4.62	13.9	18.8	-4.89

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	79	76	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-8	22	14.7	17.7	-3.02	16.1	20.3	-4.16
Kendall Gill	87	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-4	14	14.8	19.8	-4.97	16.5	21.2	-4.71
Kerry Kittles	76	73	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	2	2	14.6	17.6	-2.98	16.9	16.2	0.69
Jamie Feick	57	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	2	2	16.0	13.7	2.28	16.8	16.6	0.19
Stephon Marbury	79	76	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	4	-2	15.3	14.2	1.10	16.0	21.2	-5.15
Lucious Harris	29	29	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	0	6	16.0	14.7	1.37	18.4	15.9	2.46
Jim McIlvaine	43	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	10	-14	14.6	15.5	-0.88	17.5	16.1	1.45
Johnny Newman	10	10	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	12	-18	17.9	14.8	3.14	20.0	16.3	3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%
ORL 93, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.9%
HOU 85, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%