NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	86		Excitement	6.2 [575]		MVP	Speedy Claxton (NOK): +8.7%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	103		Comeback	1.7 [925]		LVP	Keith Bogans (CHA): -14.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	6	81%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	11	48%	0.06	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Matt Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.03	15	54%	0.01	4	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	9	39%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	2	75%	0.02	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	9	28%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	12	39%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.01	12	53%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	15	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	9	41%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.02	0.08	13	69%	0.08	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.03
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	14	44%	0.01	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.05
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	28.0	14.7	27.5	1.8	35.3	135.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +11.7%

NOK +28.7%

CHA -2.9%

NOK +13.2%

CHA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOK	NBA	CHA	NOK	NBA
this game	14.7	17.1	15.6	94.5	114.4	104.4
season	14.8	16.3		100.5	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.6	15.8	16.1	13.6	14.7
NOK	17.0	17.8	15.2	18.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	54	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-20	23	14.9	14.5	0.38	17.6	16.3	1.32
Bernard Robinson	53	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.15	-12	-5	-7	14.9	14.4	0.50	17.2	16.9	0.35
Raymond Felton	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-11	5	15.0	14.6	0.44	15.6	17.8	-2.23
Brevin Knight	75	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-9	1	14.5	16.0	-1.53	17.9	13.6	4.30
Primoz Brezec	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-11	5	14.8	14.7	0.05	19.6	15.2	4.44
Keith Bogans	42	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-3	-11	14.7	14.8	-0.04	16.3	17.8	-1.49
Matt Carroll	18	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-8	-1	14.9	14.7	0.19	12.7	18.2	-5.54
Gerald Wallace	78	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	-2	-13	14.1	18.5	-4.35	17.9	12.2	5.69
Jumaine Jones	68	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	1	-19	15.3	13.1	2.21	15.6	21.2	-5.55

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	64	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.09	21	-4	25	17.2	17.0	0.19	15.0	14.0	1.02
Rasual Butler	44	45	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	7	3	16.3	17.9	-1.57	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Chris Paul	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	0	17	16.5	20.0	-3.53	14.8	14.4	0.47
David West	68	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-1	19	17.2	16.6	0.61	14.8	14.6	0.13
Desmond Mason	76	77	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	3	11	17.0	17.4	-0.39	14.9	13.7	1.21
P.J. Brown	73	74	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	9	-1	18.1	12.8	5.34	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Kirk Snyder	51	50	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	20	-23	17.1	17.1	-0.05	14.3	15.3	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	95.3%
ATL 86, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAC 81, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%