NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	6.8 [304]		MVP	Toumani Camara (POR): +20.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.1 [516]		LVP	Jerami Grant (POR): -24.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.19	0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.05	0.12	-0.02	24	71%	0.43	11	-0.24	8	100%	0.03
Austin Reaves	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.1,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	21	58%	0.27	6	-0.17	13	92%	0.05
Gabe Vincent	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.03	7	44%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Jemison III	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.06	0.02	8	106%	0.25	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.02	0.01	14	74%	0.26	2	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	13	43%	-0.01	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	13	26%	-0.15	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.19	-0.07	-0.02	12	12%	-0.17	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	28.5	14.7	28.2	2.4	39.5	142.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +21.1%

LAL +22.4%

LAL +22.0%

POR -10.7%

POR -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	12.0	14.4	105.8	97.1	112.6
season	14.8	14.3		113.6	109.3
opponent	14.6	14.3		114.3	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	16.8	14.5	15.5	15.6
POR	11.6	12.5	11.8	12.2	12.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	75	76	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.13	20	-12	32	14.7	17.9	-3.28	11.9	12.2	-0.32
LeBron James	79	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	0	8	15.0	17.2	-2.20	11.8	12.8	-0.98
Austin Reaves	89	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	3	2	15.6	15.6	-0.04	11.8	12.9	-1.04
Dalton Knecht	26	28	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	1	6	15.7	15.5	0.17	13.9	11.3	2.62
Trey Jemison III	28	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	2	4	17.0	15.0	2.01	13.6	11.4	2.18
Jaxson Hayes	63	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	6	-4	15.0	16.5	-1.48	11.9	12.2	-0.34
Rui Hachimura	77	77	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	8	-8	15.8	15.0	0.77	11.5	13.5	-2.03
Jordan Goodwin	39	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.28	-8	16	-24	17.8	14.2	3.65	11.9	12.1	-0.22
Shake Milton	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	8	-8	13.5	15.8	-2.29	12.6	11.9	0.65
Gabe Vincent	34	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	8	-8	16.1	15.3	0.86	11.7	12.1	-0.40

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scoot Henderson	63	64	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-15	22	12.1	11.8	0.33	16.2	14.6	1.57
Robert Williams III	53	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-7	6	11.9	12.1	-0.13	16.1	14.9	1.19
Kris Murray	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-5	2	13.8	11.8	1.93	17.0	15.4	1.55
Toumani Camara	82	83	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-13	18	11.6	13.4	-1.83	15.4	16.0	-0.60
Dalano Banton	23	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-12	16	12.3	11.9	0.32	17.4	15.0	2.35
Deni Avdija	75	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-9	10	11.7	12.7	-0.92	15.1	16.7	-1.57
Donovan Clingan	40	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	2	-12	12.5	11.7	0.83	14.0	16.4	-2.43
Anfernee Simons	67	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	2	-12	11.5	12.8	-1.30	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Jerami Grant	70	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	5	-18	11.8	12.4	-0.59	15.2	16.2	-1.04
Shaedon Sharpe	43	42	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.09	-20	12	-32	13.2	11.2	1.99	16.2	15.2	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.25,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.24,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.07,0.14,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, NJN 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.24,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.07,0,0,0	93.2%
ORL 86, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	92.8%
DAL 106, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	92.5%