NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	6.0 [664]		MVP	Rodney Buford (NJN): +22.6%
New Jersey Nets	83		Comeback	1.0 [626]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -21.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	6	94%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	8	81%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	9	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.01	25	55%	0.12	5	-0.11	6	67%	0.00
John Edwards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.05	-0.03	18	38%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	1	60%	-0.00	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Fred Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	4	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.07	0.01	13	77%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaniel Dickens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	20	51%	-0.02	4	-0.09	9	67%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	5	36%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	6	29%	-0.07	5	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	15	47%	-0.13	3	-0.09	13	92%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.5	15.3	29.4	2.4	37.3	141.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.4%

NJN -2.2%

NJN -12.9%

IND +15.1%

IND +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.2	15.5	102.1	90.2	104.0
season	16.8	16.0		101.9	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	16.3	16.5	14.8	15.7
NJN	17.5	13.0	14.1	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.13	22	-9	31	15.2	17.8	-2.59	14.0	20.6	-6.63
Jeff Foster	50	48	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	0	13	16.4	14.9	1.53	14.7	15.8	-1.07
Jermaine O'Neal	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	7	-1	16.2	13.8	2.38	15.3	15.1	0.16
Reggie Miller	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	1	11	15.6	16.0	-0.43	15.4	14.7	0.72
Michael Curry	41	43	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	6	1	16.1	15.4	0.75	15.0	15.4	-0.36
Fred Jones	60	55	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	14.9	17.1	-2.18	15.3	15.2	0.08
Anthony Johnson	38	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	17	-21	17.0	14.9	2.10	17.8	13.7	4.09
David Harrison	19	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	8	-3	16.4	15.5	0.87	19.3	14.2	5.07
Austin Croshere	38	37	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	11	-9	14.8	16.3	-1.52	14.8	15.5	-0.76
John Edwards	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	12.0	15.8	-3.80	8.5	15.4	-6.89
James Jones	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	12.0	15.8	-3.80	8.5	15.4	-6.89
Eddie Gill	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	12.0	15.8	-3.80	8.5	15.4	-6.89

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-16	19	11.3	15.4	-4.04	8.7	16.0	-7.29
Kaniel Dickens	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	8.5	15.4	-6.89	8.7	16.0	-7.29
Travis Best	19	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-16	19	20.1	14.0	6.13	15.9	15.7	0.24
Nenad Krstic	28	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-2	-9	16.8	14.5	2.27	15.4	15.9	-0.55
Jabari Smith	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-11	9	14.8	15.6	-0.83	15.3	16.0	-0.74
Jason Collins	66	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	16.1	13.1	3.01	16.8	13.4	3.39
Rodney Buford	59	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-5	-3	15.6	14.7	0.89	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Vince Carter	84	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	2	-17	14.7	20.5	-5.76	15.8	15.3	0.43
Richard Jefferson	85	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-3	-7	14.8	20.0	-5.15	15.8	14.3	1.55
Jason Kidd	73	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	3	-19	14.0	20.1	-6.13	15.6	16.1	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.24,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 110, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%
SAS 110, VAN 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0	92.7%
DEN 105, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.6%