inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 105 Excitement5.5 [723] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +19.6%
Sacramento Kings 92 Comeback1.0 [1064] LVPWilson Chandler (DEN): -10.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.060.12-0.021064%0.231-0.042100%0.02
Gary Harris0.180,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.160.050.031575%0.201-0.022100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.011269%0.132-0.035100%0.02
Mason Plumlee0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.03-0.023100%0.112-0.022100%0.01
Juan Hernangomez0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.00-0.023100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.020.011156%0.051-0.04580%0.01
Roy Hibbert0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00844%0.011-0.03250%-0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Will Barton-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01617%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.021323%-0.1000.0000%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.02-0.01894%0.162-0.012100%0.01
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02573%0.0300.0010%-0.02
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.011547%0.061-0.05450%-0.04
Kosta Koufos0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.00862%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.01-0.02944%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Langston Galloway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Georgios Papagiannis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00437%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Skal Labissiere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02737%-0.002-0.05520%-0.07
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.01837%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.001143%-0.013-0.07887%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.31.625.814.826.01.730.5121.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +31.6%
DEN +11.5%
DEN +4.6%
DEN +6.4%
SAC -4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSACNBADENSACNBA
this game15.415.714.8114.198.9107.7
season14.415.4111.6106.0
opponent14.614.5110.0111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.917.116.015.015.4
SAC16.117.216.013.815.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Harris72710.460.040.410.1994515.216.2-0.9815.217.3-2.12
Nikola Jokic60600.440.060.380.0314-11515.315.7-0.4415.516.1-0.61
Wilson Chandler54540.320.180.150.2149-515.115.9-0.7416.215.01.16
Danilo Gallinari65650.310.190.11-0.02112916.113.82.3515.715.60.13
Jamal Murray39410.280.220.050.0485314.316.3-2.0515.116.2-1.12
Jameer Nelson64640.230.27-0.030.1249-515.415.6-0.2515.915.30.51
Mason Plumlee37400.170.33-0.15-0.12103715.515.40.1316.215.30.84
Darrell Arthur28290.110.39-0.29-0.0149-516.415.01.3315.815.70.14
Will Barton28300.100.40-0.31-0.0558-315.515.40.0416.415.41.03
Juan Hernangomez1090.090.41-0.330.09013-1317.215.21.9815.915.70.21
Roy Hibbert320.000.50-0.500.12-417-2115.315.4-0.1011.015.8-4.80

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Langston Galloway340.00-0.500.50-0.062-151711.015.9-4.8616.215.40.85
Georgios Papagiannis340.00-0.500.50-0.062-151711.015.9-4.8616.215.40.85
Buddy Hield5859-0.07-0.430.35-0.101-141515.516.0-0.4415.315.7-0.36
Darren Collison4747-0.10-0.400.29-0.05-2-11915.515.9-0.3815.415.5-0.06
Willie Cauley-Stein7068-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-9515.915.10.7615.116.3-1.22
Arron Afflalo4645-0.22-0.280.050.07-10-3-715.615.8-0.2615.315.5-0.20
Anthony Tolliver2221-0.23-0.270.040.15-130-1316.615.41.1713.715.9-2.23
Kosta Koufos5554-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.13-4-9515.715.8-0.1116.014.71.32
Tyreke Evans4443-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.13-5-8316.215.30.8715.515.40.06
Skal Labissiere3637-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.11-7-6-115.216.0-0.7316.115.01.13
Ty Lawson4645-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.07-11-2-915.915.50.3815.515.40.06
Garrett Temple3533-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.01-141-1516.015.50.4415.715.30.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 87, CHH 770.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,095.4%
DAL 103, MIA 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.33,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.38,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,094.8%
SAC 118, UTA 1100.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,094.6%