NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	118		Excitement	5.8 [629]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (SAC): +21.3%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.0 [606]		LVP	Raul Lopez (UTA): -12.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	6	107%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	12	75%	0.12	2	-0.05	16	87%	0.02
Brad Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	74%	0.12	2	-0.06	9	67%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	17	49%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.07	-0.02	14	63%	0.17	0	0.00	7	100%	0.12
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.03	7	69%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.02	15	64%	0.06	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	15	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.03
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	16	58%	0.02	4	-0.10	11	82%	0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	540.2	1.8	29.4	15.4	27.2	1.6	35.2	650.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +56.1%

UTA -10.1%

UTA -5.0%

SAC +1.7%

SAC +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.3	15.7	124.2	115.8	100.5
season	14.7	17.2		106.9	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.6		100.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	13.6	14.7	14.4	14.0
UTA	17.5	15.7	15.9	16.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	0	8	14.4	12.4	2.00	17.5	12.1	5.38
Anthony Peeler	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	4	0	13.8	14.2	-0.38	15.7	17.1	-1.34
Darius Songaila	42	42	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	6	-4	13.9	14.0	-0.13	14.4	17.9	-3.46
Bobby Jackson	42	42	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-2	12	13.7	14.2	-0.43	16.6	16.1	0.46
Doug Christie	51	51	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	-2	12	13.8	14.1	-0.29	17.5	15.0	2.41
Peja Stojakovic	73	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	6	-4	14.0	13.8	0.27	16.1	17.1	-0.97
Mike Bibby	70	69	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	8	-8	14.0	14.0	-0.03	15.7	18.1	-2.40
Vlade Divac	37	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	4	0	13.5	14.3	-0.72	16.4	16.3	0.05
Tony Massenburg	33	33	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	8	-8	14.3	13.8	0.45	16.8	16.1	0.78

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-1	-6	17.8	16.1	1.74	13.7	14.0	-0.37
Jarron Collins	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-1	-6	16.7	16.3	0.47	13.2	14.1	-0.93
DeShawn Stevenson	68	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-9	10	15.5	18.3	-2.79	14.0	13.9	0.17
Sasha Pavlovic	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-6	4	15.1	16.7	-1.62	13.3	14.2	-0.89
Andrei Kirilenko	72	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-8	8	15.8	18.0	-2.19	14.0	14.0	-0.03
Mo Williams	12	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-6	4	19.0	16.0	3.05	14.1	14.0	0.11
Curtis Borchardt	24	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	16.4	16.3	0.11	14.6	13.8	0.79
Carlos Arroyo	67	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-9	10	16.1	17.0	-0.94	14.4	13.1	1.26
Raul Lopez	28	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	1	-10	17.0	16.1	0.94	13.1	14.4	-1.26
Matt Harpring	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-4	0	16.5	15.6	0.88	14.3	12.8	1.42
Greg Ostertag	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-3	-2	17.0	14.1	2.82	13.9	14.4	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 105, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%
UTA 115, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.05,0	94.1%
CLE 87, CHH 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.0%