inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 87 Excitement4.9 [515] MVPBob Sura (CLE): +10.0%
Charlotte Hornets 77 Comeback1.0 [352] LVPDerrick Coleman (CHH): -22.6%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bob Sura0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.040.00975%0.142-0.042100%0.01
Cedric Henderson0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.01667%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.02-0.021150%0.042-0.05667%-0.01
Danny Ferry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00442%-0.0300.00475%-0.01
Johnny Newman-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Wesley Person-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01727%-0.0500.0010%-0.01
Shawn Kemp-0.060,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.02769%0.013-0.071580%0.00
Derek Anderson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01937%-0.012-0.061100%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.00550%-0.051-0.031040%-0.07

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chuck Person0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01657%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.01483%0.062-0.05450%-0.02
Travis Williams00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01757%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Charles Shackleford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
J.R. Reid0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.01460%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.011362%0.096-0.1400%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bobby Phills0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.001050%0.022-0.08475%0.00
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00050%-0.021-0.04250%-0.02
B.J. Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.0010%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Derrick Coleman0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.15-0.08-0.011346%-0.085-0.15944%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.031.215.725.11.830.4130.3
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +1.5%
CLE +7.6%
CLE +9.8%
CLE +24.9%
CLE +6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLECHHNBACLECHHNBA
this game16.416.715.8100.088.599.6
season16.315.797.399.2
opponent15.516.299.499.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.314.919.316.516.4
CHH18.215.717.615.516.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawn Kemp71720.64-0.140.780.1417-72415.520.4-4.8817.214.42.79
Derek Anderson50500.290.210.090.1264215.817.2-1.3915.718.1-2.33
Johnny Newman28290.290.210.080.0973415.017.1-2.0516.216.9-0.71
Wesley Person35350.280.220.06-0.011001017.715.52.1219.015.23.78
Zydrunas Ilgauskas61600.250.250.000.1928-616.117.0-0.8116.916.30.60
Brevin Knight53520.250.25-0.000.1346-216.616.00.5916.317.3-0.96
Cedric Henderson59580.210.29-0.080.1237-417.115.02.0516.916.20.71
Vitaly Potapenko33330.190.31-0.120.0455017.515.71.7116.117.1-1.00
Bob Sura39400.190.31-0.130.1328-615.916.8-0.9416.017.3-1.32
Danny Ferry66-0.090.59-0.680.09-616-2222.515.96.5615.716.8-1.12

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller29280.00-0.500.51-0.083-131615.417.4-2.0016.216.5-0.26
Ricky Davis1010-0.03-0.470.45-0.030-101014.217.0-2.8418.816.12.72
Eldridge Recasner1716-0.07-0.430.35-0.04-1-9816.116.9-0.8117.216.20.98
Travis Williams99-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-7419.916.33.5417.016.30.68
B.J. Armstrong2827-0.16-0.340.19-0.01-5-5015.317.4-2.0517.316.01.31
Charles Shackleford2020-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-6-4-218.716.12.5816.916.20.66
Chuck Person5253-0.22-0.280.06-0.220-101016.716.8-0.1016.516.20.30
Derrick Coleman6565-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.21-2-8616.517.3-0.7516.316.6-0.27
Chucky Brown3534-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-100-1016.816.70.1016.216.5-0.30
J.R. Reid4546-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.12-8-2-617.216.20.9616.016.9-0.92
Bobby Phills6163-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.11-9-1-817.115.91.1816.117.1-1.01
David Wesley6464-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.13-9-1-817.016.00.9115.917.7-1.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 105, SAC 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,095.4%
HOU 109, SEA 1000.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,095.1%
IND 110, MIL 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.22,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,094.5%