NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	5.8 [665]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +25.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	1.0 [1273]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -12.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.21	0.09	0.06	18	71%	0.26	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.08	0.01	13	67%	0.25	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
David West	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.20	0.05	0.02	16	71%	0.25	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.04
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
CJ Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	9	19%	-0.09	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	63%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	59%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	5	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.13	-0.05	0.09	23	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.02	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.01
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	32%	-0.04	3	-0.07	5	0%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	29.2	17.8	28.3	0.2	36.4	140.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +15.2%

IND +22.1%

MIL -7.1%

IND +16.0%

IND +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	13.8	15.1	113.4	104.2	105.2
season	15.8	15.7		102.7	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	17.7	17.2	14.6	16.0
MIL	13.9	15.0	14.1	12.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	76	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	2	6	16.2	15.3	0.86	13.9	13.7	0.18
Paul George	74	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	4	2	15.4	17.8	-2.38	13.5	15.0	-1.53
Roy Hibbert	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	6	-2	16.3	15.3	1.08	13.6	14.3	-0.70
George Hill	63	61	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	4	2	16.2	15.6	0.56	13.8	13.9	-0.05
Rasual Butler	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	4	2	16.6	15.5	1.15	14.3	13.4	0.96
Luis Scola	29	29	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	5	0	16.8	15.7	1.17	14.7	13.4	1.24
David West	68	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	5	0	15.7	16.8	-1.17	13.4	14.7	-1.24
Ian Mahinmi	29	28	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	4	2	15.3	16.3	-1.00	14.8	13.4	1.41
CJ Watson	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	6	-2	15.6	16.2	-0.64	13.5	14.0	-0.56

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Wolters	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-8	6	13.8	13.8	-0.06	17.0	15.4	1.67
Jeff Adrien	35	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-15	20	14.1	13.7	0.46	15.6	16.2	-0.63
Zaza Pachulia	54	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-8	6	13.5	14.2	-0.70	16.3	15.6	0.73
Ersan Ilyasova	50	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-3	-4	14.0	13.6	0.45	17.0	14.9	2.05
Giannis Antetokounmpo	49	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-12	14	14.2	13.5	0.70	15.6	16.4	-0.76
O.J. Mayo	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	4	-18	12.5	14.6	-2.09	14.4	17.0	-2.59
Khris Middleton	48	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	4	-18	13.5	14.1	-0.56	16.2	15.8	0.47
Brandon Knight	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	13.8	14.0	-0.22	16.7	13.6	3.11
Ramon Sessions	46	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-6	2	14.7	13.0	1.68	14.9	17.0	-2.09
John Henson	48	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	13.9	13.7	0.19	15.5	16.5	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.22,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 87, CHH 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.5%
IND 87, HOU 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04,0	94.4%
HOU 108, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.03,0,0	94.2%