NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	5.4 [759]		MVP	David Wesley (HOU): +11.5%
Orlando Magic	99		Comeback	1.1 [570]		LVP	Steve Francis (ORL): -10.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Jon Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	21	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	12	83%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	82%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	13	59%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	16	60%	0.03	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.04
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	18	53%	-0.08	1	-0.02	17	71%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.3	35.4	19.6	25.2	2.7	39.2	154.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +11.5%

HOU +6.3%

HOU +26.7%

HOU +3.0%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ORL	NBA	HOU	ORL	NBA
this game	17.5	14.0	15.5	118.7	107.6	104.0
season	16.0	14.3		104.2	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		105.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.0	15.0	17.0	20.5	17.5
ORL	15.5	13.8	15.0	11.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	74	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-2	13	17.2	19.1	-1.96	14.2	13.1	1.10
Tracy McGrady	78	78	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	4	1	17.7	16.7	0.97	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Juwan Howard	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	0	9	18.5	15.8	2.69	13.8	14.2	-0.43
Jon Barry	30	31	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	0	9	16.9	17.8	-0.94	14.2	13.9	0.34
Yao Ming	61	62	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	3	3	16.5	19.7	-3.24	14.4	13.1	1.24
David Wesley	74	75	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	5	-1	17.6	17.1	0.58	14.0	13.8	0.18
Dikembe Mutombo	29	28	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	6	-3	20.3	16.2	4.03	13.4	14.2	-0.83
Scott Padgett	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	9	-9	16.5	17.9	-1.38	13.4	14.2	-0.76
Rod Strickland	7	6	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	7	-5	21.0	17.2	3.76	12.7	14.1	-1.39
Clar. Weatherspoon	6	7	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	9	-9	12.5	17.9	-5.38	17.3	13.7	3.59
Ryan Bowen	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	3.0	17.7	-14.69	9.5	14.1	-4.57
Andre Barrett	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	13	-17	17.8	17.5	0.31	13.3	14.0	-0.75

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	6.0	14.1	-8.14	20.0	17.5	2.53
Jameer Nelson	5	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-7	5	12.0	14.1	-2.08	13.3	17.8	-4.49
Andrew DeClercq	10	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-8	7	15.7	13.8	1.94	14.3	18.0	-3.70
Pat Garrity	17	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	13.4	14.1	-0.75	15.7	18.0	-2.32
Tony Battie	28	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-8	7	13.7	14.1	-0.42	18.8	17.0	1.81
Grant Hill	73	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-7	5	14.1	13.4	0.75	17.1	19.3	-2.19
Kelvin Cato	57	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	13.9	14.0	-0.05	18.0	16.8	1.17
Dwight Howard	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	14.2	13.3	0.83	17.5	17.5	0.01
Doug Christie	38	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	1	-11	13.0	14.6	-1.65	19.1	16.4	2.62
Hedo Turkoglu	74	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	14.4	12.3	2.03	17.3	18.6	-1.28
Steve Francis	87	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	-2	-5	14.1	12.0	2.08	17.8	13.3	4.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.1%
ORL 121, CHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.03,0,0	95.0%
SAS 107, MIN 96	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%